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Offensive Expectations: Time to see if the youngsters can contribute

First, I want to wish good luck both to the newcomers, and to those who have left the Canadiens. I want to give a special farewell to the Dutch Gretzky. When you are talking about offensive expectations, you can’t forget to mention Dale Weise, who outperformed such expectations in spades this year.

Well, now that our hopes of making the playoffs are essentially nil, Michel Therrien is starting to trust the kids. For a bit there it looked like this might spoil the tank, as the Canadiens took seven out of eight available points last week. Then of course, there was the debacle against the Sharks the other night.

Let’s take a look at last week’s numbers:

Shots

Goals

Average before

31.7

2.64

Average last week

28

3

Average now

31.7

2.7

82-game pace

2600

219

Here are the numbers for the entire roster. You can click a column’s heading to sort it. Shootout goals are not included in the totals.

Player

Pos.

GP

Exp. S

Actual S

Pace S

Exp. G

Actual G

Pace G

Exp. P

Actual P

Pace P

Sh%

Andrighetto, Sven

F

28

110

41

120

10

6

18

25

9

26

14.63

Barberio, Mark

D

21

74

24

94

3

1

4

14

5

20

4.17

Bartley, Victor

D

2

49

2

82

2

0

0

8

0

0

0

Beaulieu, Nathan

D

56

144

66

97

6

2

3

20

17

25

3.03

Byron, Paul

F

42

131

34

66

12

8

16

25

12

23

23.53

Carr, Daniel

F

19

110

34

147

8

5

22

20

8

35

14.71

Danault, Phillip

F

1

99

1

82

6

0

0

20

0

0

0

de la Rose, Jacob

F

9

66

10

91

4

0

0

10

1

9

0

Desharnais, David

F

57

109

79

114

10

9

13

45

26

37

11.39

Eller, Lars

F

62

108

115

152

12

10

13

27

20

26

8.7

Emelin, Alexei

D

52

74

41

65

3

0

0

14

7

11

0

Fleischmann, Tomas

F

57

131

100

144

12

10

14

25

20

29

10

Flynn, Brian

F

55

99

72

107

6

4

6

20

10

15

5.56

Galchenyuk, Alex

F

62

225

155

205

25

17

22

50

37

49

10.97

Gallagher, Brendan

F

45

208

148

270

25

17

31

50

34

62

11.49

Gilbert, Tom

D

45

49

36

66

2

1

2

12

2

4

2.78

Holloway, George

F

1

88

1

82

8

0

0

22

0

0

0

Hudon, Charles

F

2

78

1

41

7

0

0

30

2

82

0

Lessio, Lucas

F

4

99

3

62

6

0

0

7

0

0

0

Markov, Andrei

D

62

140

85

112

8

4

5

40

34

45

4.71

McCarron, Michael

F

3

78

9

246

7

0

0

20

1

27

0

Mitchell, Torrey

F

51

66

47

76

4

6

10

12

13

21

12.77

Pacioretty, Max

F

62

308

234

309

37

23

30

60

44

58

9.83

Pateryn, Greg

D

18

49

17

77

2

0

0

8

1

5

0

Petry, Jeff

D

51

192

98

158

8

5

8

25

16

26

5.1

Plekanec, Tomas

F

62

167

149

197

20

12

16

50

45

60

8.05

Smith-Pelly, Devante

F

46

115

60

107

7

6

11

19

12

21

10

Subban, P.K.

D

62

211

162

214

12

5

7

50

47

62

3.09

Weise, Dale

F

56

88

117

171

8

14

21

18

26

38

11.97

Pace stats are projected over a full year of hockey (82 games).

Galchenyuk and Gallagher are continuing their good work. Galchenyuk is slightly below a 25-goal pace, but looks more and more dangerous every night. Conversely, Max Pacioretty scored twice in the last game, but is still far from his 37 expected goals.

Sven Andrighetto is beginning to see more ice time, which coincidentally led to a boost in his shooting pace. Hopefully things will continue that way as he tries to earn a permanent spot in the lineup.

Tomas Fleischmann and Dale Weise are both gone, and it is likely thanks to them exceeding expectations that the Canadiens were able to get assets back for them. Also gone is Devante Smith-Pelly, who scored a goal in his last game with the Canadiens, thanks to the efforts of Michael McCarron, who collected his first career NHL point.

Half of the regular defensive roster is sidelined with injuries, so it will be tough to expect a big contribution from the back end. We’ll get a real chance to see what the kids can do this week, which features a back-to-back against the Ducks and the Kings starting tonight.

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