clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

EOTP’s Consensus NHL Draft Rankings

New, comments

We used 10 sources to come up with an ultimate ranking of the prospects

2016 NHL Draft - Rounds 2-7 Photo by Jen Fuller/Getty Images

The NHL Entry Draft is on Friday, and EOTP has been keeping track of most of the rankings to come out ahead of the draft.

Some rankings have more correlation to how the draft will unfold than others, and no rankings are perfect so we combined 10 of the most respected draft rankings and used the average of them to get our own rankings.

The sources used:

Bob McKenzie (TSN, ranked 100)
Craig Button (TSN, ranked 105)
HockeyProspect.com (ranked 217)
Jeff Marek (Sportsnet, ranked 100)
Corey Pronman (ESPN.com, ranked 100 skaters)
ISSHockey.com (ranked 180 skaters)
FutureConsiderations.ca (ranked 250)
DraftBuzzHockey.com (ranked 248 [as of June 23])
McKeensHockey.com (ranked 125)
The Hockey News (ranked 100)

All of these rankings did not rank the same number of players. And not every player was ranked by each source. This offered a challenge to normalize the rankings.

To make things equal, players who were not ranked by a system were given the last ranking of the source+1. This ensured that a player not ranked did not benefit more than a player ranked low.

As an example, Bob McKenzie ranked 93 players plus seven honourable mentions. Those were not ranked by McKenzie received a ranking of 101. HockeyProspect ranked 217 players. Those not ranked, were given 218, and so on.

The exception is Future Considerations. Because they ranked so many more players, it skewed the rankings too much for players they did and didn’t rank. Therefore, players ranked between 217-250 were given 217 as their score, while players not ranked were given 220.

Two sources (Corey Pronman and ISS) ranked goaltenders separately. Those separate rankings were not used in the average. Goaltenders had their averages based on eight sources rather than 10.

The “Drop Off” column shows the difference in average between the person immediately above them in the rankings. This is useful to create groups of similarly ranked players. The “Variance” column shows the difference between the player’s highest ranking and their lowest one. As an example, Nico Hischier and Nolan Patrick received 1s and 2s across the board, so the variance would be 1.

You will see the averages get close together as you approach the bottom. That is because many of those players were not ranked by several sources, meaning the scores tended to be more equal.

There was a tie for top spot in the rankings with both Nico Hischier and Nolan Patrick receiving five #1 rankings and five #2 rankings.

As you get to the middle of the first round, the variances really tend to jump around. There are some top-30 players with first round grades and third round grades, and vice versa. It goes to show while this draft doesn’t have elite top end talent, the depth of the pool goes into the third round and you should be able to get intriguing players throughout the draft.

Below are the Top 150 ranked players (there was, of course, a tie for 150th spot.) The Montreal Canadiens have, for the moment, picks 25, 56, 58, 68, 87, and 149.

For more information on prospects, be sure to check out our prospect profiles here.

(these rankings have been updated June 23)

EOTP Draft Rankings

RK Name HT WT Position Team League AVG Dropoff Variance
RK Name HT WT Position Team League AVG Dropoff Variance
1 HISCHIER, NICO 6' 1.5" 179 C HALIFAX QMJHL 1.50 1
1 PATRICK, NOLAN 6' 2" 199 C BRANDON WHL 1.50 0.00 1
3 HEISKANEN, MIRO 6' 0.75" 172 D HIFK FINLAND 4.30 2.80 5
4 VILARDI, GABRIEL 6' 2.75" 203 C WINDSOR OHL 4.70 0.40 4
5 MAKAR, CALE 5' 11.25" 187 D BROOKS AJHL 7.00 2.30 15
6 GLASS, CODY 6' 1.75" 178 C PORTLAND WHL 7.10 0.10 6
7 MITTELSTADT, CASEY 5' 11.5" 199 C EDEN PRAIRIE HIGH-MN 7.60 0.50 8
8 PETTERSSON, ELIAS 6' 1.75" 165 C TIMRA SWEDEN-2 10.30 2.70 17
9 TIPPETT, OWEN 6' 0.5" 203 RW MISSISSAUGA OHL 10.40 0.10 19
10 NECAS, MARTIN 6' 1" 178 C BRNO CZREP 10.70 0.30 9
11 LILJEGREN, TIMOTHY 5' 11.5" 188 D ROGLE SWEDEN 13.50 2.80 15
12 SUZUKI, NICK 5' 11" 183 C OWEN SOUND OHL 13.70 0.20 14
13 RASMUSSEN, MICHAEL 6' 5.5" 221 C TRI-CITY WHL 15.00 1.30 14
14 ANDERSSON, LIAS 5' 11" 201 C HV 71 SWEDEN 15.40 0.40 18
15 TOLVANEN, EELI 5' 9.25" 189 RW SIOUX CITY USHL 15.80 0.40 17
16 KOSTIN, KLIM 6' 2.5" 207 LW/RW DYNAMO MOSCOW RUSSIA 16.20 0.40 15
17 VALIMAKI, JUUSO 6' 1.5" 211 D TRI-CITY WHL 16.40 0.20 11
18 VESALAINEN, KRISTIAN 6' 3" 209 LW/RW FROLUNDA SWEDEN 18.30 1.90 24
19 FOOTE, CALLAN 6' 4" 215 D KELOWNA WHL 18.80 0.50 13
20 POEHLING, RYAN 6' 1.75" 177 C ST. CLOUD STATE NCHC 19.90 1.10 15
21 BRANNSTROM, ERIK 5' 9" 179 D HV 71 SWEDEN 22.00 2.10 30
22 YAMAMOTO, KAILER 5' 7.5" 146 RW SPOKANE WHL 23.00 1.00 22
23 THOMAS, ROBERT 5' 11.5" 193 C LONDON OHL 24.80 1.80 27
24 VAAKANAINEN, URHO 6' 0.5" 188 D JYP FINLAND 25.80 1.00 27
25 RATCLIFFE, ISAAC 6' 6" 200 LW GUELPH OHL 27.60 1.80 49
26 OETTINGER, JAKE 6' 4.25" 218 G BOSTON UNIVERSITY H-EAST 29.00 1.40 12
27 HAGUE, NICOLAS 6' 5.5" 207 D MISSISSAUGA OHL 30.10 1.10 32
28 ROBERTSON, JASON 6' 2" 196 LW KINGSTON OHL 31.20 1.10 28
29 BOWERS, SHANE 6' 1.5" 178 C WATERLOO USHL 32.20 1.00 19
30 JOSEPH, PIERRE-OLIVIER 6' 2.25" 163 D CHARLOTTETOWN QMJHL 32.60 0.40 37
31 LIND, KOLE 6' 1" 185 RW KELOWNA WHL 34.40 1.80 30
32 JOKIHARJU, HENRI 5' 10.75" 188 D PORTLAND WHL 34.70 0.30 35
33 NORRIS, JOSHUA 6' 0.5" 189 C USA U-18 NTDP 35.30 0.60 44
34 COMTOIS, MAXIME 6' 1.75" 207 LW VICTORIAVILLE QMJHL 36.60 1.30 39
35 TIMMINS, CONOR 6' 1.5" 184 D SAULT STE. MARIE OHL 38.40 1.80 34
36 ANDERSON-DOLAN, JARET 5' 11" 191 C SPOKANE WHL 38.70 0.30 20
37 CHYTIL, FILIP 6' 1.5" 192 C ZLIN CZREP 41.10 2.40 50
38 BOQVIST, JESPER 5' 11.25" 165 C BRYNAS SWEDEN 42.10 1.00 34
39 MISMASH, GRANT 6' 0" 181 LW USA U-18 NTDP 42.70 0.60 37
40 DIPIETRO, MICHAEL 6' 0" 202 G WINDSOR OHL 44.13 1.43 33
41 LIPANOV, ALEXEI 6' 0.25" 169 C BALASHIKHA RUSSIA-2 46.90 2.78 34
42 IKONEN, JONI 5' 11" 177 C FROLUNDA JR. SWEDEN-JR. 47.70 0.80 38
43 DAVIDSSON, MARCUS 6' 0" 191 C DJURGARDEN SWEDEN 47.80 0.10 68
44 LUUKKONEN, UKKO-PEKKA 6' 4.25" 198 G HPK JR. FINLAND-JR. 47.88 0.08 42
45 FROST, MORGAN 5' 10.75" 173 C SAULT STE. MARIE OHL 49.00 1.13 40
46 HEPONIEMI, ALEKSI 5' 10" 149 C SWIFT CURRENT WHL 49.80 0.80 50
47 ENTWISTLE, MACKENZIE 6' 2" 171 RW HAMILTON OHL 50.20 0.40 45
48 STROME, MATTHEW 6' 3.5" 207 LW HAMILTON OHL 51.80 1.60 47
49 FORMENTON, ALEX 6' 1.5" 166 LW LONDON OHL 53.50 1.70 38
50 POPUGAEV, NIKITA 6' 5.25" 219 LW PRINCE GEORGE WHL 53.60 0.10 49
51 MATTHEOS, STELIO 6' 0.25" 189 RW BRANDON WHL 54.00 0.40 56
52 LESCHYSHYN, JAKE 5' 10.75" 189 C REGINA WHL 58.50 4.50 23
53 GADJOVICH, JONAH 6' 1" 199 LW OWEN SOUND OHL 61.90 3.40 70
54 BROOK, JOSH 6' 1" 191 D MOOSE JAW WHL 62.10 0.20 73
55 FARRANCE, DAVID 5' 8.75" 195 D USA U-18 NTDP 62.40 0.30 82
56 SAFIN, OSTAP 6' 4.5" 192 RW SPARTA JR. CZREP-JR. 62.70 0.30 58
57 LODNIA, IVAN 5' 10.5" 176 RW ERIE OHL 63.20 0.50 78
58 PETRUZZELLI, KEITH 6' 5" 174 G MUSKEGON USHL 63.50 0.30 51
59 MORAND, ANTOINE 5' 10" 175 C ACADIE-BATHURST QMJHL 63.70 0.20 47
60 SAMBERG, DYLAN 6' 3" 211 D HERMANTOWN HIGH-MN 64.60 0.90 65
61 SALO, ROBIN 6' 0.5" 189 D SPORT FINLAND 67.00 2.40 61
61 MITCHELL, IAN 5' 11" 173 D SPRUCE GROVE AJHL 67.00 0.00 39
63 GILDON, MAXWELL 6' 2.75 192 D USA U-18 NTDP 67.30 0.30 69
64 PHILLIPS, MARKUS 6' 0" 202 D OWEN SOUND OHL 67.70 0.40 87
65 STUDNICKA, JACK 6' 0.5" 171 C OSHAWA OHL 68.30 0.60 58
66 SKINNER, STUART 6' 3" 200 G LETHBRIDGE WHL 69.88 1.58 40
67 RUZICKA, ADAM 6' 3.5" 209 C SARNIA OHL 70.20 0.33 68
68 RASANEN, EEMELI 6' 6.75" 214 D KINGSTON OHL 71.10 0.90 90
69 GEEKIE, MORGAN 6' 2" 190 C TRI-CITY WHL 73.20 2.10 69
70 SAMORUKOV, DMITRI 6' 2" 185 D GUELPH OHL 73.50 0.30 54
71 REEDY, SCOTT 6' 1" 201 C USA U-18 NTDP 74.40 0.90 53
72 ELVENES, LUCAS 6' 0.25" 172 RW/C ROGLE JR. SWEDEN-JR. 75.20 0.80 46
73 SHAW, MASON 5' 8.5" 173 C MEDICINE HAT WHL 76.60 1.40 99
73 MARTIN, LUKE 6' 2.5" 221 D MICHIGAN BIG10 76.60 0.00 55
75 BARRATT, EVAN 5' 11" 182 C USA U-18 NTDP 76.80 0.20 79
76 HENRY, NICK 5' 11" 190 RW REGINA WHL 78.10 1.30 55
77 WESTERLUND, FILIP 5' 11" 174 D FROLUNDA SWEDEN 78.40 0.30 46
78 ZHUKOV, MAKSIM 6' 2" 194 G GREEN BAY USHL 80.00 1.60 46
79 CHEKHOVICH, IVAN 5' 10" 177 LW BAIE-COMEAU QMJHL 80.10 0.10 51
80 TYSZKA, JARRET 6' 2" 188 D SEATTLE WHL 81.80 1.70 64
81 FLEURY, CALE 6' 1.5" 199 D KOOTENAY WHL 82.00 0.20 42
82 SCOTT, IAN 6' 3" 169 G PRINCE ALBERT WHL 83.50 1.50 41
83 ANDERSON, MICHAEL 6' 0" 197 D WATERLOO USHL 86.50 3.00 68
84 CHMELEVSKI, SASHA (ALEX) 5' 11.25" 179 C OTTAWA OHL 87.60 1.10 98
85 MINULIN, ARTYOM 6' 2" 197 D SWIFT CURRENT WHL 88.40 0.80 56
86 SCHNARR, NATE 6' 3" 180 C GUELPH OHL 89.30 0.90 62
87 HOEFENMAYER, NOEL 6' 0" 191 D OTTAWA OHL 89.40 0.10 86
88 CROTTY, CAMERON 6' 2.25" 186 D BROCKVILLE CCHL 90.50 1.10 42
89 PRIMEAU, CAYDEN 6' 2" 186 G LINCOLN USHL 92.63 2.13 73
90 MIRAGEAS, BENJAMIN 6' 1" 171 D CHICAGO USHL 93.00 0.38 61
91 WALSH, REILLY 5' 10.75" 184 D PROCTOR ACADEMY HIGH-NH 93.50 0.50 64
92 RONDBJERG, JONAS 6' 2" 187 RW VAXJO JR. SWEDEN-JR. 94.60 1.10 120
93 GALLANT, ZACH 6' 1" 198 C PETERBOROUGH OHL 95.50 0.90 119
93 KOLTYGIN, PAVEL 6' 0" 189 C DRUMMONDVILLE QMJHL 95.50 0.00 29
95 ZABLOCKI, LANE 5' 11.25" 179 RW RED DEER WHL 95.60 0.10 47
96 MAKSIMOV, KIRILL 6' 2" 192 RW NIAGARA OHL 95.90 0.30 77
97 SLEPETS, KIRILL 5' 10" 165 LW YAROSLAVL 2 RUSSIA-JR. 96.70 0.80 87
98 ZETTERLUND, FABIAN 5' 11" 195 LW/RW FARJESTAD JR. SWEDEN-JR. 96.90 0.20 124
99 INAMOTO, TYLER 6' 1.25" 192 D USA U-18 NTDP 98.00 1.10 53
100 TEXIER, ALEXANDRE 6' 0" 187 C GRENOBLE FRANCE 98.70 0.70 156
101 KOTKANSALO, KASPER 6' 1.5" 196 D SIOUX FALLS USHL 99.90 1.20 70
102 FERRARO, MARIO 5' 10.75" 185 D DES MOINES USHL 100.20 0.30 109
103 TOROPCHENKO, ALEXEY 6' 3" 187 RW MVD BALASHIKHA 2 RUSSIA-JR. 101.80 1.60 163
104 STEENBERGEN, TYLER 5' 10" 188 C SWIFT CURRENT WHL 102.20 0.40 75
105 OLSON, KYLE 5' 10" 161 RW TRI-CITY WHL 105.30 3.10 139
106 TEASDALE, JOEL 5' 11.25" 192 LW BLAINVILLE-BOISBRIAND QMJHL 105.60 0.30 47
107 VIRTANEN, SANTERI 6' 2" 194 C TPS JR. FINLAND-JR. 106.40 0.80 106
107 KHODORENKO, PATRICK 6' 0" 206 C MICHIGAN STATE BIG10 106.40 0.00 34
109 RATHBONE, JACK 5' 10.5" 172 D DEXTER SCHOOL HIGH-MA 107.20 0.80 103
110 JOLY, D'ARTAGNAN 6' 2.5" 175 RW BAIE-COMEAU QMJHL 107.80 0.60 58
111 ERIKSSON EK, OLLE 6' 2.5" 178 G FARJESTAD JR. SWEDEN-JR. 107.88 0.08 87
112 PHILLIPS, CLAYTON 5' 10.5" 180 D FARGO USHL 108.10 0.22 59
113 LINDSTROM, GUSTAV 6' 2" 187 D ALMTUNA SWEDEN-2 108.30 0.20 74
113 LYLE, BRADY 6' 1" 203 D NORTH BAY OHL 108.30 0.00 53
115 CRETE-BELZILE, ANTOINE 5' 11.75" 186 D BLAINVILLE-BOISBRIAND QMJHL 110.20 1.90 68
116 NOEL, DAVID 6' 1" 175 D VAL-D'OR QMJHL 111.00 0.80 96
117 KOSORENKOV, IVAN 5' 10" 187 RW VICTORIAVILLE QMJHL 112.30 1.30 63
118 MEIRELES, GREG 5' 10" 172 C KITCHENER OHL 112.50 0.20 111
119 HUGG, RICKARD 5' 10" 179 C LEKSAND JR. SWEDEN-JR. 113.80 1.30 120
120 MILLER, THOMAS 6' 1.25" 185 D USA U-18 NTDP 113.90 0.10 127
121 STUDENIC, MARIAN 6' 0" 164 RW HAMILTON OHL 114.20 0.30 82
122 WALFORD, SCOTT 6' 2" 193 D VICTORIA WHL 114.90 0.70 64
123 PAQUETTE, JACOB 6' 2.5" 204 D KINGSTON OHL 115.00 0.10 129
124 CARSON, MACAULEY 6' 1" 205 C SUDBURY OHL 115.30 0.30 80
125 RUBINCHIK, MARK 6' 0" 179 D SASKATOON WHL 115.70 0.40 93
126 CATES, NOAH 6' 0" 165 LW STILLWATER HIGH-MN 115.80 0.10 102
127 THILANDER, ADAM 6' 0" 190 D NORTH BAY OHL 118.10 2.30 119
127 KNOEPKE, NATHAN 6' 3" 196 D USA U-18 NTDP 118.50 0.40 166
129 WALFRIDSSON, SEBASTIAN 6' 0" 194 D MODO JR. SWEDEN-JR. 120.20 1.70 150
130 KOSKENKORVA, JESSE 6' 0" 177 C KARPAT JR. FINLAND-JR. 120.40 0.20 107
131 BEMSTROM, EMIL 5' 11" 177 C LEKSAND JR. SWEDEN-JR. 121.30 0.90 146
132 MOILANEN, SAMI 5' 8" 185 RW SEATTLE WHL 121.70 0.40 153
133 BELLERIVE, JORDAN 5' 10" 196 C LETHBRIDGE WHL 122.70 1.00 65
134 NYMAN, LINUS 5' 9" 158 RW KINGSTON OHL 122.90 0.20 146
135 JONES, BEN 6' 0" 187 C NIAGARA OHL 123.10 0.20 74
136 KEATING, AUSTEN 6' 0" 170 LW OTTAWA OHL 123.40 0.30 109
137 RASMUSSEN, DAYTON 6' 0.5" 198 G CHICAGO USHL 123.63 0.22 81
138 COGHLAN, DYLAN 6' 2" 189 D TRI-CITY WHL 123.70 0.08 138
139 PASTUJOV, MICHAEL 6' 0" 190 RW USA U-18 NTDP 124.30 0.60 130
140 HAWEL, LIAM 6' 4" 175 C GUELPH OHL 124.40 0.10 96
141 VILLALTA, MATT 6' 2" 170 G SAULT STE. MARIE OHL 124.50 0.10 132
142 HANCOCK, KEVIN 5' 11" 182 LW OWEN SOUND OHL 125.10 0.60 109
143 TALVITIE, AARNE 5' 10" 198 C BLUES JR. FINLAND-JR. 125.60 0.50 112
144 SIROTA, JAKUB 6' 2" 186 D CEDAR RAPIDS USHL 126.40 0.80 132
144 YERYOMENKO, VLADISLAV 6' 0" 171 D CALGARY WHL 126.40 0.00 114
146 OKSANEN, EMIL 6' 1" 189 LW ESPOO FINLAND-2 126.70 0.30 91
147 BARIBEAU, DERECK 6' 5" 191 G QUEBEC QMJHL 127.25 0.55 119
147 PECKFORD, RYAN 6' 0" 185 LW VICTORIA WHL 127.50 0.25 80
149 GAWANKE, LEON 6' 1" 186 D CAPE BRETON QMJHL 127.60 0.10 116
150 BARANOV, VENYAMIN 6' 1" 198 D DYNAMO ST. PETERSBURG 2 RUSSIA-JR. 127.70 0.10 125
150 JOHNSON, ISAAC 6' 2" 180 LW DES MOINES USHL 127.70 0.00 97