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EOTP’s 2021 Consensus NHL Draft Rankings

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We used 15 sources to come up with an ultimate ranking of the prospects.

2021 NHL Draft Lottery Photo by Mike Stobe/NHLI via Getty Images

The 2021 NHL Entry Draft begins on Friday, and EOTP has been keeping track of most of the rankings to come out ahead of the draft.

Some rankings have more correlation to how the draft will unfold than others, and no rankings are perfect so we combined 15 of the most respected draft rankings and used a modified average of them to get our own rankings.

This is our sixth year doing this. Last year out of the 150 top-ranked players, 132 (88%) were drafted. Only one of the top 100 players was not drafted, 98th-ranked Ethan Cardwell (who is actually ranked again — 125th — this year).

History of EOTP’s Consensus Draft Rankings

YEAR PLAYERS CORRELATION DRAFTED % 217 DRAFTED %
YEAR PLAYERS CORRELATION DRAFTED % 217 DRAFTED %
2016 106 0.7924 94.34 N/A
2017 315 0.7674 80.18 67.28
2018 264 0.7594 81.11 72.35
2019 140 0.8269 92.86 N/A
2020 257 0.7365 81.11 73.73

Previous Rankings:
2017
2018
2019
2020

The correlation of the rankings in 2020 (top 217 players) was 0.7365. 81.11% of the 257 players ranked were drafted, including 73.7% of those ranked in the top 217.

The sources used:

Bob McKenzie (TSN, ranked 96)
Craig Button (TSN, ranked 75)
HockeyProspect (ranked 109)
Corey Pronman (The Athletic, ranked 151)
Scott Wheeler (The Athletic, ranked 100)
Future Considerations (ranked 300)
Chris Peters (Hockey Sense, ranked 100)
EliteProspects.com (ranked 107)
Will Scouch (ranked 101)
Smaht Scouting (ranked 135)
The Draft Analyst (ranked 224)
McKeensHockey.com (ranked 223)
The Hockey News (Ryan Kennedy online rankings, ranked 120)
Draft Prospects (ranked 300)
Dobber Prospects (ranked 100)

All of these rankings did not rank the same number of players. And not every player was ranked by each source. This offers a challenge to normalize the rankings.

To make things truly representative, players who were not ranked by a system were given the last ranking of the source+10. This ensured that a player not ranked did not benefit more than a player ranked low. Rankings with 300 players only received a bump of source+5.

As an example, Bob McKenzie ranked 96 players and four honourable mentions. Those not ranked by McKenzie but mentioned as honourable mentions received a rank of 100. Those not mentioned at all received a ranking of 110. HockeyProspect ranked 109 players. Those not ranked were given 119, and so on.

In 2019, we eliminated the top two and bottom two scores from the average. This improved the results dramatically from other years. After eliminating this in 2020, that method is back for 2021.

This is the first year where all sources we used ranked goaltenders in their overall rankings. This means that goaltenders are also based on all sources.

The “Drop” column shows the difference in average between the person immediately above them in the rankings. This is useful to create groups of similarly ranked players.

You will see the averages get close together as you approach the bottom. That is because many of those players were not ranked by several sources, meaning the averages tended to be more equal. This also represents how close players are once you get to a certain point in the Draft.

The “Range” column shows the difference between the player’s highest ranking and their lowest one. As an example, Owen Power has a range of ‘6’ because he was ranked as high as first, and as low as seventh. Power becomes the first player in the six years of this ranking to have a single ranking lower than 2 and be the top-ranked player.

The highest variance in the first 32 prospects is Zachary Bolduc with a range of 53.

(Note that you will need to scroll the table to the right in order to see the Range column).

Below are the 163 ranked players. In order to qualify for the rankings, players needed to be included on at least five of the 15 sources (since we took away the top and bottom two scores, we wanted to make sure players were guaranteed to be using at least one of their own rankings). Please note that all names, teams and positions are from NHL Central Scouting’s final ranking.

The Montreal Canadiens have, for the moment, picks 31, 63, 64, 77, 87, 113, 126, 127, 142, 191, and 223.

For more information on prospects, be sure to check out our prospect profiles here.

2021 EOTP Consensus Rankings

RK NAME HT WT POSITION TEAM LEAGUE AVG DROP RANGE
RK NAME HT WT POSITION TEAM LEAGUE AVG DROP RANGE
1 POWER, OWEN 6' 6" 213 L DEFENCE MICHIGAN BIG10 1.22 NA 6
2 BENIERS, MATTHEW 6' 2" 175 CENTER MICHIGAN BIG10 2.67 1.44 4
3 EKLUND, WILLIAM 5' 10" 176 LEFT WING DJURGARDEN SWEDEN 3.11 0.44 5
4 HUGHES, LUKE 6' 2" 184 L DEFENCE USA U-18 NTDP 5.44 2.33 8
5 CLARKE, BRANDT 6' 2" 185 R DEFENCE BARRIE OHL 5.67 0.22 8
6 GUENTHER, DYLAN 6' 2" 175 RIGHT WING EDMONTON WHL 6.78 1.11 8
7 JOHNSON, KENT 6' 1" 167 CENTER MICHIGAN BIG10 8.00 1.22 13
8 EDVINSSON, SIMON 6' 4" 198 L DEFENCE FROLUNDA JR. SWEDEN-JR. 8.44 0.44 20
9 MCTAVISH, MASON 6' 1" 207 CENTER PETERBOROUGH OHL 8.89 0.44 9
10 WALLSTEDT, JESPER 6' 3" 214 GOALIE LULEA SWEDEN 9.22 0.33 12
11 LYSELL, FABIAN 5' 10" 172 RIGHT WING LULEA SWEDEN 12.89 3.67 27
12 LUCIUS, CHAZ 6' 1" 185 CENTER USA U-18 NTDP 12.89 0.00 13
13 SILLINGER, COLE 6' 0" 197 CENTER SIOUX FALLS USHL 13.33 0.44 15
14 SVECHKOV, FEDOR 6' 0" 187 CENTER TOGLIATTI RUSSIA-2 14.11 0.78 30
15 RATY, AATU 6' 2" 185 CENTER KARPAT FINLAND 17.89 3.78 44
16 CORONATO, MATTHEW 5' 10" 183 RIGHT WING CHICAGO USHL 18.33 0.44 27
17 COSSA, SEBASTIAN 6' 6" 210 GOALIE EDMONTON WHL 19.67 1.33 38
18 LAMBOS, CARSON 6' 1" 197 L DEFENCE WINNIPEG WHL 20.67 1.00 28
19 ROSEN, ISAK 5' 11" 156 RIGHT WING LEKSAND SWEDEN 21.00 0.33 21
20 OTHMANN, BRENNAN 6' 0" 175 LEFT WING FLINT OHL 21.78 0.78 21
21 CHIBRIKOV, NIKITA 5' 10" 170 RIGHT WING ST. PETERSBURG RUSSIA 22.67 0.89 25
22 OLAUSSON, OSKAR 6' 1" 180 RIGHT WING HV 71 SWEDEN 24.22 1.56 24
23 STANKOVEN, LOGAN 5' 8" 170 CENTER KAMLOOPS WHL 25.89 1.67 40
24 BOURGAULT, XAVIER 6' 0" 172 CENTER SHAWINIGAN QMJHL 26.00 0.11 31
25 CEULEMANS, CORSON 6' 2" 198 R DEFENCE BROOKS AJHL 26.56 0.56 43
26 PINELLI, FRANCESCO 6' 0" 185 CENTER KITCHENER OHL 27.56 1.00 20
27 BOLDUC, ZACHARY 6' 1" 175 CENTER RIMOUSKI QMJHL 27.78 0.22 53
28 ROBERTSSON, SIMON 6' 0" 190 RIGHT WING SKELLEFTEA SWEDEN 28.44 0.67 37
29 SAMOSKEVICH, MACKIE 5' 11" 191 RIGHT WING CHICAGO USHL 30.22 1.78 28
30 TUOMAALA, SAMU 5' 10" 174 RIGHT WING KARPAT JR. FINLAND-JR. 31.22 1.00 31
31 L'HEUREUX, ZACHARY 5' 11" 196 LEFT WING HALIFAX QMJHL 32.78 1.56 35
32 DEAN, ZACH 6' 0" 176 CENTER GATINEAU QMJHL 33.22 0.44 44
33 CHAYKA, DANIIL 6' 3" 187 L DEFENCE CSKA RUSSIA 34.33 1.11 52
34 PASTUJOV, SASHA 6' 0" 184 RIGHT WING USA U-18 NTDP 35.44 1.11 42
35 SVOZIL, STANISLAV 6' 1" 182 L DEFENCE BRNO CZREP 37.44 2.00 35
36 POLTAPOV, PROKHOR 6' 0" 176 LEFT WING CSKA 2 RUSSIA-JR. 41.67 4.22 50
37 MARTINO, AYRTON 5' 11" 160 LEFT WING OMAHA USHL 41.78 0.11 55
38 STROMGREN, WILLIAM 6' 3" 175 LEFT WING MODO SWEDEN-2 42.56 0.78 50
39 BEHRENS, SEAN 5' 10" 177 L DEFENCE USA U-18 NTDP 44.11 1.56 48
40 PEART, JACK 5' 11" 186 L DEFENCE GRAND RAPIDS HIGH-MN 44.22 0.11 45
41 MORROW, SCOTT 6' 2" 195 R DEFENCE SHATTUCK - ST.MARY'S PREP HIGH-MN 45.00 0.78 72
42 DUKE, DYLAN 5' 10" 175 LEFT WING USA U-18 NTDP 45.00 0.00 54
43 ZELLWEGER, OLEN 5' 9" 175 L DEFENCE EVERETT WHL 45.11 0.11 59
44 KOIVUNEN, VILLE 5' 11" 161 RIGHT WING KARPAT JR. FINLAND-JR. 46.67 1.56 54
45 SALMINEN, SAMU 6' 2" 186 CENTER JOKERIT JR. FINLAND-JR. 48.67 2.00 83
46 BROZ, TRISTAN 6' 0" 178 CENTER FARGO USHL 49.67 1.00 56
47 HEIMOSALMI, ALEKSI 5' 11" 170 R DEFENCE ASSAT JR. FINLAND-JR. 49.89 0.22 54
48 NAUSE, EVAN 6' 2" 186 L DEFENCE QUEBEC QMJHL 51.56 1.67 73
49 BOUCHER, TYLER 6' 1" 205 RIGHT WING USA U-18 NTDP 53.67 2.11 119
50 JOHNSTON, WYATT 6' 1" 178 CENTER WINDSOR OHL 54.78 1.11 82
51 JOHNSON, BRENT 5' 11" 161 R DEFENCE SIOUX FALLS USHL 58.56 3.78 68
52 KISAKOV, ALEKSANDR 5' 10" 150 LEFT WING DYNAMO MOSCOW 2 RUSSIA-JR. 59.22 0.67 71
53 BUIUM, SHAI 6' 3" 209 L DEFENCE SIOUX CITY USHL 59.89 0.67 78
54 KNIES, MATTHEW 6' 2" 210 LEFT WING TRI-CITY USHL 60.22 0.33 98
55 GAUDREAU, BENJAMIN 6' 2" 175 GOALIE SARNIA OHL 61.22 1.00 79
56 KORCZAK, RYDER 5' 11" 174 CENTER MOOSE JAW WHL 62.44 1.22 71
57 STILLMAN, CHASE 6' 1" 180 RIGHT WING SUDBURY OHL 63.44 1.00 70
58 OLSSON, ANTON 6' 0" 198 L DEFENCE MALMO SWEDEN 63.78 0.33 98
59 KIRSANOV, KIRILL 6' 1" 198 L DEFENCE ST. PETERSBURG RUSSIA 65.11 1.33 101
60 GRUSHNIKOV, ARTEM 6' 2" 198 L DEFENCE CSKA 2 RUSSIA-JR. 65.44 0.33 81
61 HARRISON, BRETT 6' 2" 188 CENTER OSHAWA OHL 66.67 1.22 54
62 HELENIUS, SAMUEL 6' 6" 201 CENTER JYP FINLAND 68.11 1.44 90
63 HRESCHUK, AIDAN 5' 11" 188 L DEFENCE USA U-18 NTDP 70.33 2.22 87
64 UFKO, RYAN 5' 10" 181 R DEFENCE CHICAGO USHL 70.33 0.00 70
65 KLIMOVICH, DANILA 6' 2" 202 RIGHT WING MINSK ZUBRY BELARUS-2 70.56 0.22 92
66 ROBIDAS, JUSTIN 5' 8" 173 CENTER VAL-D'OR QMJHL 70.56 0.00 79
67 KAPANEN, OLIVER 6' 0" 166 CENTER KALPA JR. FINLAND-JR. 71.22 0.67 46
68 BAR, JACK 6' 2" 193 R DEFENCE CHICAGO USHL 74.56 3.33 82
69 ROULETTE, CONNER 5' 11" 180 LEFT WING SEATTLE WHL 74.78 0.22 77
70 DACH, COLTON 6' 4" 196 CENTER SASKATOON WHL 77.44 2.67 69
71 ALLAN, NOLAN 6' 2" 195 L DEFENCE PRINCE ALBERT WHL 79.78 2.33 61
72 SAVAGE, REDMOND 5' 11" 180 CENTER USA U-18 NTDP 80.00 0.22 129
73 STJERNBORG, VICTOR 5' 10" 202 CENTER VAXJO SWEDEN 80.67 0.67 92
74 IORIO, VINCENT 6' 2" 191 R DEFENCE BRANDON WHL 82.00 1.33 103
75 WHYNOT, CAMERON 6' 1" 180 L DEFENCE HALIFAX QMJHL 82.89 0.89 104
76 KIDNEY, RILEY 5' 11" 168 CENTER ACADIE-BATHURST QMJHL 82.89 0.00 89
77 DEL MASTRO, ETHAN 6' 4" 210 L DEFENCE MISSISSAUGA OHL 83.00 0.11 73
78 KUZMIN, DMITRY 5' 9" 178 L DEFENCE MOLODECHNO BELARUS 84.44 1.44 124
79 MAILLOUX, LOGAN 6' 3" 212 R DEFENCE LONDON GOJHL 85.56 1.11 131
80 GILMARTIN, LIAM 6' 2" 192 LEFT WING USA U-18 NTDP 88.00 2.44 106
81 DOWER NILSSON, LIAM 6' 0" 172 CENTER FROLUNDA JR. SWEDEN-JR. 89.33 1.33 87
82 NADEAU, OLIVIER 6' 2" 204 RIGHT WING SHAWINIGAN QMJHL 89.33 0.00 98
83 WINTERTON, RYAN 6' 2" 175 CENTER HAMILTON OHL 91.22 1.89 81
84 TSCHIGERL, SEAN 6' 0" 189 LEFT WING CALGARY WHL 92.78 1.56 121
85 LUKASHEVICH, VLADISLAV 6' 2" 167 L DEFENCE YAROSLAVL 2 RUSSIA-JR. 93.33 0.56 102
86 MALATESTA, JAMES 5' 9" 179 LEFT WING QUEBEC QMJHL 93.89 0.56 76
87 REYNOLDS, PETER 5' 10" 167 CENTER SAINT JOHN QMJHL 94.89 1.00 110
88 LENNOX, TRISTAN 6' 4" 190 GOALIE SAGINAW OHL 95.00 0.11 67
89 KOSTENKO, DMITRI 6' 1" 187 R DEFENCE TOGLIATTI RUSSIA-2 95.11 0.11 192
90 ROY, JOSHUA 6' 0" 190 RIGHT WING SHERBROOKE QMJHL 96.22 1.11 111
91 JORDAN, COLE 6' 2" 200 L DEFENCE MOOSE JAW WHL 97.33 1.11 218
92 VOIT, TY 5' 10" 161 LEFT WING SARNIA OHL 98.22 0.89 118
93 PLANDOWSKI, OSCAR 6' 0" 190 R DEFENCE CHARLOTTETOWN QMJHL 98.67 0.44 76
94 DOAN, JOSH 6' 1" 183 RIGHT WING CHICAGO USHL 99.00 0.33 132
95 BRABENEC, JAKUB 6' 1" 174 CENTER BRNO CZREP 99.67 0.67 110
96 ORR, ROBERT 5' 11" 176 RIGHT WING HALIFAX QMJHL 100.33 0.67 104
97 GALLAGHER, TY 6' 0" 188 R DEFENCE USA U-18 NTDP 100.44 0.11 61
98 HUCKINS, COLE 6' 3" 200 CENTER ACADIE-BATHURST QMJHL 100.89 0.44 108
99 MALINEN, ALEKSI 6' 0" 176 L DEFENCE JYP FINLAND 100.89 0.00 104
100 BLAKE, JACKSON 5' 10" 158 RIGHT WING EDEN PRAIRIE HIGH-MN 102.33 1.44 84
101 WONG, TREVOR 5' 8" 154 LEFT WING KELOWNA WHL 104.00 1.67 199
102 CANONICA, LORENZO 5' 11" 179 CENTER SHAWINIGAN QMJHL 104.33 0.33 166
103 KATELEVSKII, DMITRII 6' 2" 190 CENTER BARS KAZAN RUSSIA-2 104.56 0.22 174
104 PETROV, MATVEY 6' 2" 178 LEFT WING KRYLJA SOVETOV 2 RUSSIA-JR. 104.89 0.33 96
105 VILEN, TOPIAS 6' 1" 194 L DEFENCE PELICANS FINLAND 105.00 0.11 179
106 SCHMIDT, ROMAN 6' 5" 210 R DEFENCE USA U-18 NTDP 105.22 0.22 188
107 RICHARD, GUILLAUME 6' 2" 170 L DEFENCE TRI-CITY USHL 105.78 0.56 83
108 KOLOSOV, ALEKSEI 6' 1" 185 GOALIE MINSK RUSSIA 106.00 0.22 123
109 TRUDEAU, WILLIAM 6' 0" 189 L DEFENCE CHARLOTTETOWN QMJHL 106.33 0.33 125
110 MOSER, JANIS 6' 0" 172 L DEFENCE BIEL SWISS 107.11 0.78 151
111 MASTERS, KYLE 6' 1" 175 R DEFENCE RED DEER WHL 107.56 0.44 144
112 MARJALA, VILJAMI 6' 0" 178 LEFT WING QUEBEC QMJHL 107.78 0.22 76
113 GERASIMYUK, KIRILL 6' 2" 179 GOALIE SKA-VARYAGI MHL 108.00 0.22 201
114 MONTGOMERY, BRYCE 6' 4" 215 R DEFENCE LONDON OHL 108.22 0.22 178
115 LANDRY, MANIX 5' 11" 178 CENTER GATINEAU QMJHL 108.33 0.11 88
116 GRUBBE, JAYDEN 6' 2" 200 CENTER RED DEER WHL 109.22 0.89 83
117 SJOBERG, ALBERT 6' 0" 183 RIGHT WING SODERTALJE JR. SWEDEN-JR. 109.67 0.44 112
118 MARTIN, JACOB 6' 0" 188 R DEFENCE USA U-18 NTDP 110.78 1.11 140
119 HUUHTANEN, NIKO 6' 2" 204 RIGHT WING TAPPARA JR. FINLAND-JR. 111.22 0.44 148
120 MATIER, JACK 6' 4" 200 R DEFENCE OTTAWA OHL 111.78 0.56 87
121 JANICKE, JUSTIN 5' 11" 185 LEFT WING USA U-18 NTDP 111.78 0.00 93
122 LOCKHART, CONNOR 5' 9" 165 RIGHT WING ERIE OHL 112.11 0.33 90
123 RYSAVY, MARTIN 6' 3" 218 RIGHT WING PREROV CZREP-2 112.22 0.11 230
124 SUOMI, JIMI 5' 9" 147 L DEFENCE JOKERIT JR. FINLAND-JR. 112.67 0.44 132
125 CARDWELL, ETHAN 5' 11" 180 RIGHT WING BARRIE OHL 113.33 0.67 164
126 TICHACEK, JIRI 5' 9" 170 L DEFENCE KLADNO CZREP-2 113.56 0.22 223
127 GASSEAU, ANDRE 6' 4" 205 CENTER USA U-18 NTDP 114.11 0.56 122
128 GUCCIARDI, DAVID 6' 1" 185 L DEFENCE WATERLOO USHL 114.11 0.00 118
129 ALARIE, ERIC 6' 1" 197 LEFT WING MOOSE JAW WHL 115.67 1.56 127
130 TELEGUINE, ALEXANDER 5' 10" 183 CENTER CHILLIWACK BCHL 115.67 0.00 216
131 VRBETIC, JOE 6' 6" 190 GOALIE NORTH BAY OHL 115.67 0.00 148
132 ALMQUIST, MARCUS 5' 7" 162 RIGHT WING HV 71 JR. SWEDEN-JR. 115.89 0.22 208
133 MIETTINEN, VERNER 5' 11" 165 CENTER K-ESPOO JR. FINLAND-JR. 116.22 0.33 148
134 BARDAKOV, ZAKHAR 6' 2" 198 CENTER PODOLSK RUSSIA 116.44 0.22 246
135 LIUKAS, EETU 6' 2" 198 LEFT WING TPS FINLAND 116.67 0.22 221
136 SJODIN, LINUS 5' 9" 163 CENTER ROGLE SWEDEN 116.89 0.22 127
137 ROGER, BEN 6' 4" 200 R DEFENCE LONDON OHL 117.44 0.56 237
138 GABRIELSSON, HUGO 6' 1" 172 L DEFENCE FROLUNDA JR. SWEDEN-JR. 117.44 0.00 153
139 MYRENBERG, JONATHAN 6' 2" 185 R DEFENCE LINKOPING JR. SWEDEN-JR. 117.56 0.11 110
140 FEDOTOV, ILYA 6' 1" 176 LEFT WING NIZHNY NOVGOROD 2 RUSSIA-JR. 117.89 0.33 283
141 OSTAPCHUK, ZACK 6' 3" 205 CENTER VANCOUVER WHL 117.89 0.00 163
142 KOSKENVUO, AKU 6' 4" 173 GOALIE HIFK JR. FINLAND-JR. 118.00 0.11 125
143 VAISANEN, KALLE 6' 4" 178 LEFT WING TPS JR. FINLAND-JR. 118.67 0.67 159
144 ZUGAN, DMITRIY 5' 11" 176 CENTER CSKA 2 RUSSIA-JR. 118.78 0.11 206
145 MEIER, NOAH 5' 11" 172 L DEFENCE GCK ZURICH SWISS-2 118.78 0.00 133
146 SJOHOLM, VICTOR 5' 9" 172 R DEFENCE HV 71 JR. SWEDEN-JR. 118.89 0.11 148
147 BANKIER, CAEDAN 6' 2" 190 CENTER KAMLOOPS WHL 119.00 0.11 150
148 MITTELSTADT, LUKE 5' 11" 175 L DEFENCE EDEN PRAIRIE HIGH-MN 119.11 0.11 148
149 ARCURI, FRANCESCO 6' 2" 201 CENTER KINGSTON OHL 119.22 0.11 149
150 STRAND, HUNTER 5' 11" 185 CENTER TRI-CITY USHL 121.22 2.00 115
151 LAZUTIN, DANIIL 6' 2" 180 CENTER SKA ST. PETERSBURG 2 RUSSIA-JR. 121.78 0.56 179
152 O'BRIEN, JACK 6' 1" 170 CENTER PORTLAND WHL 122.33 0.56 150
153 KNAK, SIMON 6' 1" 185 RIGHT WING PORTLAND WHL 122.33 0.00 148
154 IVANTSOV, ILYA 5' 8" 160 CENTER SKA ST. PETERSBURG 2 RUSSIA-JR. 122.56 0.22 108
155 STENMAN, ELIAS 5' 10" 165 CENTER SKELLEFTEA JR. SWEDEN-JR. 124.11 1.56 197
156 MILNE, MICHAEL 5' 11" 185 LEFT WING WINNIPEG WHL 124.11 0.00 188
157 KREBS, DRU 5' 11" 182 L DEFENCE MEDICINE HAT WHL 125.33 1.22 151
158 PAJER, LUKAS 5' 10" 181 RIGHT WING LITOMERICE CZREP-2 126.44 1.11 173
159 CHIASSON, JAKE 6' 2" 165 CENTER BRANDON WHL 127.00 0.56 104
160 BELLIVEAU, ISAAC 6' 2" 185 L DEFENCE GATINEAU QMJHL 127.44 0.44 169
161 NYSTROM, JOEL 5' 11" 170 R DEFENCE FARJESTAD SWEDEN 128.22 0.78 242
162 SOBOLEV, DANIIL 6' 0" 210 R DEFENCE SPARTAK 2 RUSSIA-JR. 129.56 1.33 211
163 RAFKIN, RUBEN 5' 11" 190 R DEFENCE WINDSOR OHL 131.33 1.78 220