FanPost

The Best (and Worst) Possession Players in the NHL: Defencemen - Revised & Expanded

Candice Ward-USA TODAY Sports

*This is an update to an earlier article titled "The Best (and Worst) Possession Players in the NHL: Defencemen" that introduced this project and described many of the stats obtained from ExtraSkater.com and others calculated using them. Please read that post before this one if you haven’t already.*

I have updated the calculation methods used to obtain both the deployment quality (DQ) and possession scores and rankings that were introduced a few weeks ago. Thank you to everyone who offered comments and criticisms of the numbers presented in the post, especially to Simon Ledsham, Bruce Peter, and Duncan Keith’s father neo69.

Below I’ll explain the changes made in this new version. To see the differences, the same sample of data used in the original rankings (season to date as of March 27th) is used.

Ranking Players by Possession and Deployment Quality

Deployment Quality (DQ)

Originally, this was a combination of (1) the league ranking for quality of on-ice personnel, or QoOIP, that was calculated by handicapping a player’s quality of competition score by the difference in quality between that competition and the quality of his on-ice teammates (stats and calculation methods used are outlined in the original article) and (2) the league ranking for defensive zone start percentage relative to one’s teammates.

The new calculation uses just defensive zone start percentage (DZSt%) in combination with the QoOIP numbers (same values as before). Instead of adding the rankings from 1-237 together from each stat, now the numbers for both DZSt% and QoOIP are normalized to have their values fall within the range of 0 to 1. This was done using the following formula:

Normalized score = (Individual player’s stat - Lowest value among all players) / (Highest value - Lowest value)

Here is a list of players with both their actual value of QoOIP alongside the normalized score, including the players with the highest, lowest, and median values:

Player

Team(s)

QoOIP

Rank

Normalized QoOIP

Zdeno Chara

BOS

32.3%

1

1.0000

Niklas Hjalmarsson

CHI

32.1%

2

0.9608

Cam Fowler

ANA

32.1%

2

0.9608

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

PHX

31.9%

4

0.9216

Johnny Oduya

CHI

31.8%

5

0.9020

Connor Carrick

WSH

29.6%

112

0.4706

Alexander Urbom

WSH

29.6%

112

0.4706

Kimmo Timonen

PHI

29.6%

112

0.4706

Alex Pietrangelo

STL

29.6%

112

0.4706

Roman Josi

NSH

29.6%

112

0.4706

Michael Kostka

TBL CHI

27.8%

232

0.1176

Sheldon Brookbank

CHI

27.8%

232

0.1176

Jonas Brodin

MIN

27.8%

232

0.1176

Shane O'Brien

CGY

27.6%

236

0.0784

Jean-Philippe Cote

TBL

27.2%

237

0.0000

And a table with defensive zone start percentage numbers:

Player

Team(s)

DZSt%

Rank

Normalized DZSt%

Paul Ranger

TOR

41.1%

1

1.0000

Jamie McBain

BUF

39.1%

2

0.8947

Cody Franson

TOR

39.0%

3

0.8895

Tim Gleason

TOR CAR

38.4%

4

0.8579

Carl Gunnarsson

TOR

38.3%

5

0.8526

Mark Fraser

TOR EDM

38.2%

6

0.8474

Jake Gardiner

TOR

38.0%

7

0.8368

Dion Phaneuf

TOR

37.8%

8

0.8263

Mark Fayne

NJD

31.5%

115

0.4947

Olli Maatta

PIT

31.5%

115

0.4947

Ian Cole

STL

31.4%

120

0.4895

Torey Krug

BOS

23.8%

234

0.0895

John Moore

NYR

23.5%

235

0.0737

Eric Gelinas

NJD

22.9%

236

0.0421

Sheldon Brookbank

CHI

22.1%

237

0.0000

Deployment quality is then obtained by adding the normalized values for QoOIP and DZSt% together, giving a value between 0 ('0' for QoOIP + '0' for DZSt%) and 2 ('1' for QoOIP + '1' for DZSt%). This value is then normalized itself (in the last column in the tables below) to get deployment quality to fall between 0 (easiest) and 1 (most difficult).

DQ = normalized value of QoOIP + normalized value of DZSt%

Malevolently Deployed

Rank

Player

Team(s)

GP

TOI

QoOIP

Norm.

DZSt%

Norm.

DQ

Norm.

1

Dion Phaneuf

TOR

72

1166.2

31.2%

0.7843

37.8%

0.8263

1.6106

1.0000

2

Zdeno Chara

BOS

70

1265.7

32.3%

1.0000

33.2%

0.5842

1.5842

0.9823

3

Cam Fowler

ANA

67

1095.6

32.1%

0.9608

32.2%

0.5316

1.4924

0.9208

4

Josh Gorges

MTL

63

1045.2

30.8%

0.7059

36.2%

0.7421

1.4480

0.8911

5

Tyler Myers

BUF

62

990.5

30.9%

0.7255

35.5%

0.7053

1.4308

0.8795

6

Jamie McBain

BUF

60

930.4

29.9%

0.5294

39.1%

0.8947

1.4241

0.8751

7

Niklas Hjalmarsson

CHI

74

1295.2

32.1%

0.9608

30.6%

0.4474

1.4082

0.8644

8

Alex Goligoski

DAL

71

1221.7

31.5%

0.8431

32.1%

0.5263

1.3695

0.8385

9

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

PHX

72

1247.2

31.9%

0.9216

30.6%

0.4474

1.3689

0.8381

10

Justin Braun

SJS

75

1247.7

30.7%

0.6863

34.7%

0.6632

1.3494

0.8251

11

Tim Gleason

TOR CAR

48

708.7

29.7%

0.4902

38.4%

0.8579

1.3481

0.8242

12

Johnny Oduya

CHI

72

1224.3

31.8%

0.9020

30.5%

0.4421

1.3441

0.8215

13

Jack Johnson

CBJ

72

1234.7

31.2%

0.7843

32.7%

0.5579

1.3422

0.8202

14

Jeff Petry

EDM

71

1177.8

30.3%

0.6078

36.0%

0.7316

1.3394

0.8183

15

Ron Hainsey

CAR

73

1284.9

30.8%

0.7059

34.1%

0.6316

1.3375

0.8170

16

Andy Greene

NJD

73

1260.0

31.2%

0.7843

32.3%

0.5368

1.3212

0.8061

17

Keith Ballard

MIN

45

529.5

29.8%

0.5098

37.5%

0.8105

1.3203

0.8056

18

Mark Giordano

CGY

55

965.8

30.4%

0.6275

35.2%

0.6895

1.3169

0.8033

19

John Carlson

WSH

73

1174.6

31.5%

0.8431

31.1%

0.4737

1.3168

0.8032

20

Christian Ehrhoff

BUF

71

1185.3

30.5%

0.6471

34.7%

0.6632

1.3102

0.7988

Benevolently Deployed

Rank

Player

Team(s)

GP

TOI

QoOIP

Norm.

DZSt%

Norm.

DQ

Norm.

218

Justin Falk

NYR

20

224.8

28.4%

0.2353

28.6%

0.3421

0.5774

0.3079

219

Jordan Leopold

STL

24

325.9

29.6%

0.4706

23.9%

0.0947

0.5653

0.2999

220

Alec Martinez

LAK

53

660.4

29.0%

0.3529

26.1%

0.2105

0.5635

0.2986

221

Jake Muzzin

LAK

68

1022.8

28.5%

0.2549

27.9%

0.3053

0.5602

0.2964

222

Brian Lashoff

DET

66

790.7

28.6%

0.2745

27.4%

0.2789

0.5535

0.2919

223

Ryan Murphy

CAR

46

678.4

29.2%

0.3922

25.0%

0.1526

0.5448

0.2861

224

Kevan Miller

BOS

40

593.0

28.9%

0.3333

25.6%

0.1842

0.5175

0.2679

225

Luke Schenn

PHI

69

958.3

28.3%

0.2157

27.6%

0.2895

0.5052

0.2596

226

Nick Leddy

CHI

74

1016.9

29.0%

0.3529

24.5%

0.1263

0.4793

0.2422

227

Kevin Connauton

DAL

35

478.9

28.3%

0.2157

27.1%

0.2632

0.4788

0.2419

228

Torey Krug

BOS

71

995.6

28.9%

0.3333

23.8%

0.0895

0.4228

0.2044

229

Brent Seabrook

CHI

74

1263.6

28.2%

0.1961

26.3%

0.2211

0.4171

0.2006

230

Eric Gelinas

NJD

54

752.6

29.0%

0.3529

22.9%

0.0421

0.3950

0.1858

231

Adam Pardy

WPG

52

671.0

28.3%

0.2157

25.5%

0.1789

0.3946

0.1855

232

Michael Kostka

TBL CHI

22

300.0

27.8%

0.1176

27.2%

0.2684

0.3861

0.1798

233

Shane O'Brien

CGY

45

490.6

27.6%

0.0784

27.9%

0.3053

0.3837

0.1782

234

Michal Rozsival

CHI

38

563.3

28.4%

0.2353

24.6%

0.1316

0.3669

0.1669

235

John Moore

NYR

69

920.9

28.5%

0.2549

23.5%

0.0737

0.3286

0.1413

236

Jean-Philippe Cote

TBL

19

172.7

27.2%

0.0000

26.5%

0.2316

0.2316

0.0763

237

Sheldon Brookbank

CHI

40

452.8

27.8%

0.1176

22.1%

0.0000

0.1176

0.0000

Montreal Canadiens

Rank

Player

Team(s)

GP

TOI

QoOIP

Norm.

DZSt%

Norm.

DQ

Norm.

4

Josh Gorges

MTL

63

1045.2

30.8%

0.7059

36.2%

0.7421

1.4480

0.8911

26

Raphael Diaz

MTL VAN NYR

55

771.0

30.0%

0.5490

35.9%

0.7263

1.2753

0.7754

28

Mike Weaver

FLA MTL

65

957.7

30.0%

0.5490

35.7%

0.7158

1.2648

0.7684

68

Nathan Beaulieu

MTL

16

184.7

29.4%

0.4314

35.2%

0.6895

1.1208

0.6719

77

Andrei Markov

MTL

75

1280.2

29.9%

0.5294

32.9%

0.5684

1.0978

0.6565

88

Alexei Emelin

MTL

53

846.5

29.1%

0.3725

35.2%

0.6895

1.0620

0.6325

89

P.K. Subban

MTL

75

1378.9

29.9%

0.5294

32.2%

0.5316

1.0610

0.6319

91

Francis Bouillon

MTL

46

700.5

29.4%

0.4314

34.0%

0.6263

1.0577

0.6296

119

MEDIAN








0.9782

0.5764

138

Douglas Murray

MTL

50

568.2

29.2%

0.3922

32.4%

0.5421

0.9343

0.5470

178

Jarred Tinordi

MTL

19

221.5

29.3%

0.4118

30.0%

0.4158

0.8276

0.4755

In the first version of the possession rankings I combined the deployment quality rankings with the ranking for relative Corsi-for percentage (CF% rel). This favoured the best players on each team, regardless of the team’s quality. To use Corsi-for percentage (CF%) will favour the players on the best teams over those on worse possession teams, whether that qualification is because of low quality players or poor systems implementation and structure that is the fault of a coaching staff. Therefore, in order to get a measure of each player’s individual Corsi performance the quality of the team must be factored out. I explain my attempt to do that in a stat called

Team-quality-adjusted Corsi-for percentage (TQA CF%)

The question I am trying to answer with this stat is: what would a player’s Corsi-for percentage be if he played the same role on an average team? I would expect players on above-average teams to see their CF% drop if they were to start playing with an average team, while players on below-average teams would get a boost to their numbers.

For this stat I needed a measure of a team’s performance while a specific player is in the lineup, so I reverse-engineered that number by subtracting a player’s relative Corsi-for percentage (CF% rel) from his Corsi-for percentage (CF%). This will give the quality of the team that played while the player in question was in the lineup and not on the ice, which is what CF% is compared to to get CF% rel.

Off-ice team Corsi-for percentage = CF% - CF% rel

Below is a table showing players with the highest, even, and the lowest team CF%:

Player

Team(s)

CF%

CF% rel

Off-ice Team CF%

Robyn Regehr

LAK

53.2%

-5.5%

58.7%

Slava Voynov

LAK

54.3%

-3.9%

58.2%

Willie Mitchell

LAK

55.8%

-1.7%

57.5%

Matt Greene

LAK

58.0%

1.1%

56.9%

Johnny Oduya

CHI

53.3%

-3.5%

56.8%

Kevan Miller

BOS

51.9%

-4.8%

56.7%

Zach Bogosian

WPG

49.4%

-0.7%

50.1%

Anton Stralman

NYR

56.6%

6.5%

50.1%

Sami Vatanen

ANA

52.9%

2.9%

50.0%

Luca Sbisa

ANA

47.0%

-2.9%

49.9%

Mark Stuart

WPG

47.0%

-2.9%

49.9%

Morgan Rielly

TOR

45.0%

3.1%

41.9%

Christian Ehrhoff

BUF

46.4%

4.7%

41.7%

Jake Gardiner

TOR

46.1%

4.6%

41.5%

Chad Ruhwedel

BUF

46.7%

6.2%

40.5%

Martin Marincin

EDM

49.2%

9.0%

40.2%

This table comprises some of the lowest-Corsi players on the best CF% teams at the top and some of the highest-Corsi players on the worst teams at the bottom.

To compare this obtained team quality to an average team (of even Corsi, or a CF% of 50%), I subtracted the off-ice team quality from the 50% Corsi-for percentage that an average team would have.

Player

Team(s)

CF%

CF% rel

Off-ice Team CF%

Diff. to avg. team (50% - Team CF%)

Robyn Regehr

LAK

53.2%

-5.5%

58.7%

-8.7%

Sami Vatanen

ANA

52.9%

2.9%

50.0%

0.0%

Martin Marincin

EDM

49.2%

9.0%

40.2%

9.8%

Now it’s a matter of how much this difference between an average team and a player’s current team will affect a player’s personal Corsi-for values. It will probably be more than a 0% change; I do not believe that Martin Marincin would be a sub-50% player if he played for Sami Vatanen’s Ducks considering he had achieved near-even Corsi on a terrible possession team in the Edmonton Oilers. Nor do I believe that Robyn Regehr would stay well above 50% if he were the player heading to Anaheim.

It is probably also less than 100%, or else you’d just be flipping the league CF% rankings upside-down and having the best CF% players on the worst teams and the worst on the best teams.

The actual factor is something that would have to be looked at more in-depth, possibly by comparing the CF% of players who have had similar deployment quality on more than one team over the course of a season. For now, I will assume a factor of 50% of the difference between a player’s off-ice team and an even-Corsi team to adjust Corsi-for percentage by team quality.

Team-quality-adjusted Corsi-for percentage (TQA CF%) = CF% + [1/2 * (50 - Off-ice CF%)]

Player

Team(s)

CF%

CF% rel

Off-ice Team CF%

Diff.

½ Diff.

TQA CF% (CF% + ½ Diff.)

Robyn Regehr

LAK

53.2%

-5.5%

58.7%

-8.7%

-4.35%

48.9%

Sami Vatanen

ANA

52.9%

2.9%

50.0%

0.0%

0.00%

52.9%

Martin Marincin

EDM

49.2%

9.0%

40.2%

9.8%

4.90%

54.1%

By the TQA CF% formula, Martin Marincin was a better Corsi player with an actual CF% less than 50% than Robyn Regehr with an actual CF% of 53.2%.

Here is a table showing the best, median, and worst players by TQA CF%:

Player

Team(s)

CF%

Rank

CF% rel

Rank

TQA CF%

TQA CF% rel

Rank

Jake Muzzin

LAK

61.0%

1

6.2%

12

58.6%

8.6%

1

Marc-Edouard Vlasic

SJS

58.1%

4

6.8%

8

57.5%

7.5%

2

Mark Giordano

CGY

54.2%

28

10.2%

1

57.2%

7.2%

3

Jean-Philippe Cote

TBL

57.5%

6

6.3%

11

56.9%

6.9%

4

Anton Stralman

NYR

56.6%

10

6.5%

9

56.6%

6.6%

5

Ryan McDonagh

NYR

51.1%

87

-1.7%

147

49.7%

-0.3%

116

Eric Brewer

TBL

49.9%

120

-0.8%

127

49.6%

-0.5%

117

Mark Streit

PHI

49.6%

129

-0.5%

122

49.6%

-0.5%

117

Fedor Tyutin

CBJ

49.4%

134

-0.3%

119

49.6%

-0.5%

117

Brett Bellemore

CAR

49.3%

139

-0.2%

116

49.6%

-0.5%

117

Derek Morris

PHX

49.9%

120

-0.9%

128

49.5%

-0.5%

121

Andrej Meszaros

PHI BOS

49.1%

144

-0.1%

113

49.5%

-0.5%

121

Chris Phillips

OTT

51.2%

83

-2.3%

161

49.5%

-0.5%

123

Andrew MacDonald

NYI PHI

44.2%

215

-8.6%

236

42.8%

-7.2%

233

Rob Scuderi

PIT

42.8%

225

-7.5%

233

42.7%

-7.4%

234

Rasmus Ristolainen

BUF

39.2%

237

-4.5%

207

42.4%

-7.7%

235

Douglas Murray

MTL

41.5%

230

-7.0%

231

42.3%

-7.8%

236

Ladislav Smid

CGY EDM

41.7%

228

-7.3%

232

42.2%

-7.8%

237

You can see that Jake Muzzin maintains the top Corsi-for percentage rank with his team’s high quality factored out, while Marc-Edouard Vlasic actually has his ranking go up despite a decrease in CF%. Giordano rises from 28th to 3rd in CF% rankings, although his league-leading relative Corsi-for percentage drops to that third position as well. A different way of looking at that is that Jake Muzzin’s +6.2% CF% rel is more impressive than Giordano’s +10.2% because of the quality of their respective teams, something that wasn’t the case in the original calculations I performed.

Montreal Canadiens

Player

Team(s)

CF%

Rank

CF% rel

Rank

TQA CF%

TQA CF% rel

Rank

P.K. Subban

MTL

50.3%

107

5.1%

19

52.7%

2.7%

44

Andrei Markov

MTL

50.1%

112

4.6%

21

52.4%

2.4%

48

Jarred Tinordi

MTL

52.7%

54

1.3%

71

52.0%

2.0%

56

Mike Weaver

FLA MTL

50.4%

103

-0.9%

128

49.8%

-0.2%

115

MEDIAN






49.6%

-0.5%

117

Raphael Diaz

MTL VAN NYR

47.9%

170

0.0%

111

49.0%

-1.1%

143

Nathan Beaulieu

MTL

46.7%

185

0.7%

89

48.7%

-1.3%

151

Alexei Emelin

MTL

45.4%

199

-1.9%

152

46.8%

-3.3%

193

Josh Gorges

MTL

45.0%

201

-2.8%

178

46.1%

-3.9%

201

Francis Bouillon

MTL

44.3%

213

-4.8%

211

44.8%

-5.3%

216

Douglas Murray

MTL

41.5%

230

-7.0%

231

42.3%

-7.8%

236

Every player who had played the majority of their games with the Canadiens saw their TQA CF% go higher than their CF%, with one exception: Jarred Tinordi’s CF% was penalized because, in his time with the team (up to March 27th in this sample), his off-ice team CF% was above 50%.

Possession scores and rankings

The normalized value for this team-quality-adjusted Corsi-for percentage is then added to the normalized value for deployment quality (shown earlier) to generate the possession rankings.

Possession score = normalized value of TQA CF% + normalized value of DQ

In the tables below, the ranking from the previous calculation method is shown next to the new one for comparison.

Worst possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2013-’14 season to date (2014-03-27):

Rank

Previous

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

208

195

Zach Bogosian

WPG

0.3371

212

0.4360

127

0.7731

209

166

Brian Strait

NYI

0.6565

77

0.1098

223

0.7663

210

204

Eric Gelinas

NJD

0.1858

230

0.5793

63

0.7651

211

176

Connor Carrick

WSH

0.5925

108

0.1524

218

0.7449

212

158

Alexander Urbom

WSH

0.6841

64

0.0579

231

0.7420

213

199

Kevin Connauton

DAL

0.2419

227

0.4970

99

0.7389

214

222

Alexander Sulzer

BUF

0.6473

80

0.0915

226

0.7387

215

209

Brian Lashoff

DET

0.2919

222

0.4390

125

0.7309

216

201

Ryan Murphy

CAR

0.2861

223

0.4421

124

0.7282

217

225

Andrew Ference

EDM

0.5470

139

0.1799

213

0.7268

218

210

Carlo Colaiacovo

STL

0.4982

168

0.2287

204

0.7268

219

168

Andrew MacDonald

NYI PHI

0.6620

73

0.0366

233

0.6986

220

211

Nick Schultz

EDM CBJ

0.6281

93

0.0671

229

0.6951

221

214

Kris Russell

CGY

0.4230

195

0.2713

194

0.6943

222

219

Corey Potter

EDM BOS

0.6002

105

0.0793

228

0.6795

223

185

Ladislav Smid

CGY EDM

0.6553

79

0.0000

237

0.6553

224

235

Kevan Miller

BOS

0.2679

224

0.3872

156

0.6550

225

230

Jonas Brodin

MIN

0.3208

216

0.3201

180

0.6409

226

217

John Moore

NYR

0.1413

235

0.4848

106

0.6260

227

220

Dennis Wideman

CGY

0.3117

217

0.2957

186

0.6075

228

229

Luke Schenn

PHI

0.2596

225

0.3415

176

0.6010

229

225

Ryan Wilson

COL

0.3614

206

0.2378

201

0.5992

230

207

Rob Scuderi

PIT

0.5613

129

0.0274

234

0.5888

231

221

Rasmus Ristolainen

BUF

0.5794

116

0.0091

235

0.5885

232

233

Nate Guenin

COL

0.3614

206

0.1982

210

0.5596

233

234

Douglas Murray

MTL

0.5470

138

0.0030

236

0.5500

234

231

Deryk Engelland

PIT

0.3769

204

0.1037

225

0.4805

235

232

Shane O'Brien

CGY

0.1782

233

0.2073

208

0.3855

236

236

Justin Falk

NYR

0.3079

218

0.0396

232

0.3476

237

237

Sheldon Brookbank

CHI

0.0000

237

0.2561

198

0.2561

Best possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2013-’14 season to date (2014-03-27):

Rank

Previous

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

1

1

Mark Giordano

CGY

0.8033

18

0.9146

3

1.7179

2

6

Zdeno Chara

BOS

0.9823

2

0.6799

36

1.6622

3

2

Andy Greene

NJD

0.8061

16

0.7957

11

1.6018

4

19

Marc-Edouard Vlasic

SJS

0.6360

86

0.9299

2

1.5659

5

9

Drew Doughty

LAK

0.6978

56

0.8293

8

1.5271

6

4

TJ Brodie

CGY

0.7325

43

0.7866

14

1.5191

7

24

Lubomir Visnovsky

NYI

0.6296

92

0.8476

7

1.4771

8

3

Marc Staal

NYR

0.7494

34

0.7165

29

1.4659

9

12

Justin Braun

SJS

0.8251

10

0.6311

46

1.4561

10

10

Anton Stralman

NYR

0.5729

122

0.8750

5

1.4479

11

32

James Wisniewski

CBJ

0.6174

95

0.8079

10

1.4253

12

7

Ron Hainsey

CAR

0.8170

15

0.5701

64

1.3872

13

11

Alex Goligoski

DAL

0.8385

8

0.5427

75

1.3811

14

56

Niklas Hjalmarsson

CHI

0.8644

7

0.5152

92

1.3796

15

13

Matt Niskanen

PIT

0.5652

125

0.8140

9

1.3792

16

27

Victor Hedman

TBL

0.6161

96

0.7591

16

1.3752

17

5

Jeff Petry

EDM

0.8183

14

0.5396

79

1.3580

18

31

Matt Donovan

NYI

0.6392

85

0.7165

29

1.3556

19

19

Calvin de Haan

NYI

0.6056

101

0.7500

20

1.3556

20

54

Cam Fowler

ANA

0.9208

3

0.4268

135

1.3476

21

15

Johnny Boychuk

BOS

0.6914

59

0.6524

40

1.3439

22

28

Brian Campbell

FLA

0.6597

74

0.6768

37

1.3365

23

17

Dmitry Kulikov

FLA

0.7888

24

0.5427

75

1.3315

24

34

Erik Karlsson

OTT

0.5671

124

0.7530

18

1.3201

25

41

Martin Marincin

EDM

0.5896

111

0.7256

26

1.3152

26

50

Jason Demers

SJS

0.6440

82

0.6707

38

1.3147

27

18

David Schlemko

PHX

0.5678

123

0.7470

22

1.3147

28

15

Christian Ehrhoff

BUF

0.7988

20

0.5091

96

1.3079

29

33

David Rundblad

PHX CHI

0.5476

137

0.7561

17

1.3037

30

104

Jake Muzzin

LAK

0.2964

221

1.0000

1

1.2964

Montreal Canadiens

Rank

Previous

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

36

34

Andrei Markov

MTL

0.6565

77

0.6189

48

1.2754

37

41

P.K. Subban

MTL

0.6319

89

0.6402

44

1.2721

49

37

Mike Weaver

FLA MTL

0.7684

28

0.4604

115

1.2287

54

39

Raphael Diaz

MTL VAN NYR

0.7754

26

0.4116

143

1.1870

75

75

Josh Gorges

MTL

0.8911

4

0.2378

201

1.1289

106

158

Jarred Tinordi

MTL

0.4755

178

0.5976

56

1.0731

110

75

Nathan Beaulieu

MTL

0.6719

68

0.3963

151

1.0683

119


MEDIAN






1.0422

158

155

Alexei Emelin

MTL

0.6325

88

0.2774

193

0.9100

204

214

Francis Bouillon

MTL

0.6296

91

0.1555

216

0.7851

233

234

Douglas Murray

MTL

0.5470

138

0.0030

236

0.5500

Since the original article, I have also performed these calculations for defencemen for the 2011-’12 and 2012-’13 regular seasons, as well as the entire 2013-'14 season. All analyses include players who had played in 20% of total regular season games for their team. For the 2011-’12 season, 240 defencemen met that minimum game criterion, with 238 for the 2012-’13 season and 242 for 2013-'14. For a player who played for multiple teams over the course of a season, his teams are listed in order of games played. Numbers in parentheses beside team abbreviations indicate that team’s CF% rank for that season.

2011-’12 Regular Season

Worst possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2011-’12 season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

211

Sheldon Brookbank

ANA (22)

0.5133

119

0.1187

227

0.6320

212

Brett Clark

TBL (25)

0.4507

155

0.1810

208

0.6317

213

Mark Eaton

NYI (23)

0.5879

79

0.0415

237

0.6294

214

Brian Lee

OTT (8) TBL (25)

0.3401

202

0.2878

176

0.6280

215

Brendan Mikkelson

TBL (25)

0.2444

221

0.3798

131

0.6242

216

Steve Eminger

NYR (19)

0.4029

177

0.2166

196

0.6195

217

Randy Jones

WPG (13)

0.3166

211

0.3027

168

0.6192

218

Marc Methot

CBJ (27)

0.6088

68

0.0000

240

0.6088

219

Mike Mottau

NYI (23) BOS (5)

0.4834

137

0.1217

226

0.6051

220

Derek Morris

PHX (15)

0.3461

197

0.2552

185

0.6013

221

Cam Barker

EDM (28)

0.4599

149

0.1395

220

0.5993

222

Steven Kampfer

MIN (30) BOS (5)

0.3734

186

0.2255

193

0.5990

223

Jeff Schultz

WSH (16)

0.3822

184

0.2018

202

0.5839

224

Luke Schenn

TOR (24)

0.3434

199

0.2374

191

0.5808

225

Andreas Lilja

PHI (9)

0.3943

181

0.1840

205

0.5783

226

Sami Lepisto

CHI (6)

0.0804

237

0.4896

76

0.5700

227

Keith Aulie

TBL (25) TOR (24)

0.5130

121

0.0564

235

0.5694

228

Mark Flood

WPG (13)

0.3937

182

0.1721

210

0.5658

229

Douglas Murray

SJS (11)

0.4509

154

0.1098

229

0.5607

230

Matt Taormina

NJD (10)

0.1043

234

0.4421

101

0.5464

231

Marc Staal

NYR (19)

0.5221

112

0.0178

239

0.5399

232

Ryan Whitney

EDM (28)

0.4119

174

0.1039

231

0.5157

233

Yannick Weber

MTL (26)

0.3341

204

0.1691

212

0.5032

234

Kurtis Foster

NJD(10) MIN(30) ANA(22)

0.2505

220

0.2404

190

0.4909

235

Chris Summers

PHX (15)

0.1729

226

0.3145

159

0.4874

236

Stu Bickel

NYR (19)

0.1524

229

0.3294

154

0.4818

237

Tim Erixon

NYR (19)

0.2956

216

0.1632

213

0.4588

238

John Erskine

WSH (16)

0.0184

239

0.3858

128

0.4041

239

Dylan Olsen

CHI (6)

0.0000

240

0.3086

165

0.3086

240

Derek Joslin

CAR (21)

0.0894

236

0.1721

210

0.2615

Best possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2011-’12 season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

1

Zdeno Chara

BOS (5)

0.8350

10

0.8220

2

1.6569

2

Fedor Tyutin

CBJ (27)

0.8592

7

0.5727

47

1.4319

3

Alex Goligoski

DAL (17)

0.6088

68

0.7596

4

1.3684

4

Nikita Nikitin

CBJ (27) STL (3)

0.8088

14

0.5460

55

1.3548

5

Dan Hamhuis

VAN (7)

0.6773

39

0.6647

19

1.3420

6

Andrej Sekera

BUF (18)

0.8024

16

0.5371

60

1.3395

7

Alec Martinez

LAK (2)

0.3252

207

1.0000

1

1.3252

8

Stephane Robidas

DAL (17)

0.7787

21

0.5252

65

1.3039

9

Christopher Tanev

VAN (7)

0.6538

47

0.6499

24

1.3036

10

Justin Braun

SJS (11)

0.6299

57

0.6706

18

1.3005

11

Alex Pietrangelo

STL (3)

0.6350

54

0.6647

19

1.2997

12

Kevin Bieksa

VAN (7)

0.6176

64

0.6766

16

1.2941

13

Nicklas Lidstrom

DET (4)

0.5574

92

0.7240

9

1.2814

14

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

PHX (15)

0.7128

30

0.5490

52

1.2618

15

Johnny Boychuk

BOS (5)

0.5278

106

0.7329

7

1.2607

16

TJ Brodie

CGY (20)

0.5131

120

0.7270

8

1.2401

17

Dion Phaneuf

TOR (24)

0.7841

20

0.4540

95

1.2381

18

P.K. Subban

MTL (26)

0.7517

24

0.4748

80

1.2265

19

Shea Weber

NSH (29)

0.6478

49

0.5757

43

1.2234

20

Drew Doughty

LAK (2)

0.6174

65

0.5964

35

1.2138

21

Cory Sarich

CGY (20)

0.5701

86

0.6380

26

1.2081

22

Mike Green

WSH (16)

0.5909

76

0.6053

33

1.1963

23

Kimmo Timonen

PHI (9)

0.5308

105

0.6528

23

1.1837

24

Tim Gleason

CAR (21)

0.8564

8

0.3145

159

1.1709

25

Willie Mitchell

LAK (2)

0.6207

62

0.5401

57

1.1607

26

Victor Hedman

TBL (25)

0.7553

22

0.3947

125

1.1499

27

Matt Greene

LAK (2)

0.5255

108

0.6231

29

1.1487

28

Jan Hejda

COL (12)

1.0000

1

0.1484

218

1.1484

29

Erik Karlsson

OTT (8)

0.4650

148

0.6795

15

1.1446

30

John Carlson

WSH (16)

0.8412

9

0.3027

168

1.1439

Montreal Canadiens

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

18

P.K. Subban

MTL (26)

0.7517

24

0.4748

80

1.2265

66

Josh Gorges

MTL (26)

0.6981

35

0.3472

146

1.0453

89

Frédéric St-Denis

MTL (26)

0.4776

143

0.4985

73

0.9761

120.5

MEDIAN






0.9129

127

Alexei Emelin

MTL (26)

0.5223

111

0.3769

134

0.8991

134

Raphael Diaz

MTL (26)

0.5759

83

0.3116

164

0.8875

149

Chris Campoli

MTL (26)

0.5850

81

0.2700

180

0.8551

168

Hal Gill

MTL (26) NSH (29)

0.6268

60

0.1751

209

0.8019

179

Jaroslav Spacek

CAR (21) MTL (26)

0.2209

222

0.5401

57

0.7610

188

Tomas Kaberle

MTL (26) CAR (21)

0.4270

167

0.3175

157

0.7445

233

Yannick Weber

MTL (26)

0.3341

204

0.1691

212

0.5032

2012-’13 Regular Season

Worst possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2012-’13 season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

209

Danny DeKeyser

DET (5)

0.3127

225

0.5567

71

0.8693

210

Matt Bartkowski

BOS (4)

0.1545

212

0.7105

22

0.8650

211

Bryan Allen

ANA (24)

0.5488

139

0.3077

212

0.8565

212

Keaton Ellerby

LAK (1) FLA (17)

0.3585

211

0.4960

103

0.8545

213

Ryan O'Byrne

COL (23) TOR (30)

0.6193

60

0.2308

229

0.8500

214

Greg Zanon

COL (23)

0.5267

121

0.3219

207

0.8485

215

Erik Gudbranson

FLA (17)

0.4809

194

0.3664

192

0.8473

216

Brian Lashoff

DET (5)

0.5820

173

0.2632

223

0.8452

217

Roman Hamrlik

NYR (9) WSH (20)

0.0833

237

0.7611

14

0.8445

218

Keith Aulie

TBL (26)

0.4138

214

0.4291

149

0.8429

219

Sheldon Brookbank

CHI (3)

0.3754

134

0.4595

129

0.8349

220

David Schlemko

PHX (14)

0.4418

181

0.3907

173

0.8324

221

Andrej Meszaros

PHI (21)

0.8078

4

0.0162

237

0.8240

222

Brent Seabrook

CHI (3)

0.3662

215

0.4575

131

0.8237

223

Mike Weber

BUF (28)

0.6346

69

0.1883

233

0.8228

224

Korbinian Holzer

TOR (30)

0.6897

23

0.1316

236

0.8213

225

Paul Postma

WPG (16)

0.1707

232

0.6296

42

0.8003

226

Derek Smith

CGY (22)

0.3473

159

0.4312

147

0.7785

227

Adam Larsson

NJD (2)

0.3992

165

0.3684

191

0.7676

228

Brett Carson

CGY (22)

0.3179

234

0.4393

143

0.7571

229

Kent Huskins

DET (5) PHI (21)

0.5972

88

0.1559

235

0.7531

230

Michael Del Zotto

NYR (9)

0.3372

204

0.4089

162

0.7461

231

Kurtis Foster

PHI (21)

0.4849

73

0.2328

228

0.7177

232

Radek Martinek

NYI (13)

0.4009

133

0.3138

209

0.7146

233

Steve Eminger

NYR (9)

0.3236

171

0.3907

173

0.7142

234

Derek Meech

WPG (16)

0.3356

218

0.3360

202

0.6716

235

Joe Finley

NYI (13)

0.3737

166

0.2085

232

0.5822

236

Jamie Oleksiak

DAL (15)

0.1486

229

0.4190

153

0.5676

237

Stu Bickel

NYR (9)

0.5266

96

0.0000

238

0.5266

238

Matt Gilroy

NYR (9)

0.0000

236

0.2429

227

0.2429

Best possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2012-’13 season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

1

Zdeno Chara

BOS (4)

0.8709

36

0.6498

36

1.5207

2

Kris Letang

PIT (18)

0.6924

106

0.7186

21

1.4111

3

Marc-Edouard Vlasic

SJS (11)

0.7416

44

0.6457

38

1.3874

4

Braydon Coburn

PHI (21)

1.0000

12

0.3765

181

1.3765

5

Drew Doughty

LAK (1)

0.6688

183

0.7004

24

1.3692

6

Oliver Ekman-Larsson

PHX (14)

0.8581

46

0.5061

96

1.3642

7

Dan Boyle

SJS (11)

0.6304

109

0.7287

19

1.3591

8

Erik Karlsson

OTT (7)

0.5294

213

0.8198

4

1.3492

9

Henrik Tallinder

NJD (2)

0.3433

222

1.0000

1

1.3433

10

P.K. Subban

MTL (6)

0.6033

161

0.7328

18

1.3361

11

Christian Ehrhoff

BUF (28)

0.6763

138

0.6559

34

1.3322

12

Niklas Hjalmarsson

CHI (3)

0.7443

80

0.5789

58

1.3232

13

Luke Schenn

PHI (21)

0.7579

74

0.5587

69

1.3166

14

John Carlson

WSH (20)

0.8301

97

0.4858

107

1.3160

15

Kimmo Timonen

PHI (21)

0.6492

184

0.6619

30

1.3112

16

Jake Muzzin

LAK (1)

0.3433

222

0.9575

2

1.3007

17

Mark Fayne

NJD (2)

0.5641

148

0.7287

19

1.2929

18

Johnny Oduya

CHI (3)

0.6712

119

0.6134

48

1.2846

19

Brenden Dillon

DAL (15)

0.7059

21

0.5688

66

1.2747

20

Victor Hedman

TBL (26)

0.7926

26

0.4798

113

1.2724

21

Steve Oleksy

WSH (20)

0.6455

31

0.6174

46

1.2630

22

Lubomir Visnovsky

NYI (13)

0.4631

216

0.7895

9

1.2526

23

Zbynek Michalek

PHX (14)

0.7357

25

0.5121

93

1.2478

24

Andrei Markov

MTL (6)

0.7129

157

0.5223

86

1.2352

25

Ryan McDonagh

NYR (9)

0.5937

61

0.6397

40

1.2334

26

Dennis Seidenberg

BOS (4)

0.7008

37

0.5304

81

1.2312

27

Dan Hamhuis

VAN (8)

0.5811

125

0.6437

39

1.2248

28

Shane O'Brien

COL (23)

0.5581

100

0.6599

31

1.2180

29

Andy Greene

NJD (2)

0.6202

120

0.5972

51

1.2174

30

Peter Harrold

NJD (2)

0.3943

231

0.8219

3

1.2162

Montreal Canadiens

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

10

P.K. Subban

MTL (6)

0.6033

161

0.7328

18

1.3361

24

Andrei Markov

MTL (6)

0.7129

157

0.5223

86

1.2352

76

Josh Gorges

MTL (6)

0.6449

158

0.4717

123

1.1166

88

Davis Drewiske

LAK (1) MTL (6)

0.4460

174

0.6538

35

1.0998

91

Alexei Emelin

MTL (6)

0.5769

176

0.5182

89

1.0951

101

Francis Bouillon

MTL (6)

0.5030

175

0.5709

64

1.0738

119.5

MEDIAN






1.0513

158

Tomas Kaberle

MTL (6)

0.2507

235

0.7429

16

0.9937

171

Raphael Diaz

MTL (6)

0.6567

87

0.3117

210

0.9684

2013-'14 Regular Season

Rookies are denoted by the "(R)" following their names. Rookie status was determined using NHL.com’s list of rookie scoring.

Worst possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2013-’14 season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

214

Andrew Ference

EDM (28)

0.5420

115

0.2137

219

0.7557

215

Robert Bortuzzo

PIT (16)

0.4876

142

0.2650

207

0.7526

216

Andrej Meszaros

PHI (22) BOS (3)

0.3388

206

0.4103

163

0.7491

217

Michael Kostka

TBL (10) CHI (2)

0.1411

233

0.6011

60

0.7422

218

Kevin Connauton (R)

DAL (11)

0.2398

223

0.4957

114

0.7355

219

Zach Bogosian

WPG (20)

0.2635

218

0.4672

130

0.7307

220

Corey Potter

EDM (28) BOS (3)

0.6034

94

0.1225

234

0.7259

221

Rasmus Ristolainen (R)

BUF (30)

0.5167

127

0.2080

220

0.7247

222

Brian Lashoff

DET (12)

0.2169

227

0.4843

120

0.7013

223

Tyson Strachan

WSH (24)

0.6992

41

0.0000

242

0.6992

224

Philip Larsen

EDM (28)

0.4161

182

0.2792

203

0.6953

225

Ladislav Smid

CGY (27) EDM (28)

0.6228

76

0.0627

241

0.6854

226

Douglas Murray

MTL (26)

0.6071

92

0.0712

240

0.6783

227

Rob Scuderi

PIT (16)

0.5179

126

0.1481

229

0.6660

228

Ryan Murphy (R)

CAR (21)

0.2085

228

0.4473

146

0.6558

229

John Moore

NYR (6)

0.1245

235

0.5214

105

0.6459

230

Jonas Brodin

MIN (23)

0.3175

212

0.3276

194

0.6452

231

Eric Gelinas (R)

NJD (4)

0.0746

239

0.5442

94

0.6187

232

Kris Russell

CGY (27)

0.3703

195

0.2279

216

0.5983

233

Nate Guenin

COL (25)

0.3393

205

0.2422

213

0.5815

234

Dennis Wideman

CGY (27)

0.2430

222

0.3362

192

0.5792

235

Luke Schenn

PHI (22)

0.2173

226

0.3447

191

0.5620

236

Kevan Miller (R)

BOS (3)

0.1400

234

0.3789

178

0.5189

237

Deryk Engelland

PIT (16)

0.3364

207

0.1795

224

0.5159

238

Ryan Wilson

COL (25)

0.2476

220

0.2479

211

0.4955

239

Sheldon Brookbank

CHI (2)

0.0368

241

0.4245

159

0.4613

240

Justin Falk

NYR (6)

0.2628

219

0.1481

229

0.4110

241

Paul Postma

WPG (20)

0.1595

230

0.1994

222

0.3589

242

Shane O'Brien

CGY (27)

0.0689

240

0.2536

210

0.3225

Luke Schenn went from being the 17th-worst defenceman in 2011-’12 (224th) to the 13th-best in 2012-’13 (13th) to 8th-worst in 2013-’14 (235).

Shane O'Brien, 28th in 2012-'13, ranked dead last in 2013-'14.

Andrej Meszaros and Mike Kostka rank 216 and 217, respectively, in the possession rankings. They will make a reappearance in the second part of this analysis.

Best possession defencemen in the NHL for the 2013-’14 season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

1

Zdeno Chara

BOS (3)

0.9829

2

0.7037

33

1.6866

2

Mark Giordano

CGY (27)

0.7827

18

0.8917

4

1.6745

3

Marc-Edouard Vlasic

SJS (5)

0.6327

68

0.9402

2

1.5729

4

Andy Greene

NJD (4)

0.7850

17

0.7692

17

1.5543

5

Drew Doughty

LAK (1)

0.6699

49

0.8291

8

1.4989

6

TJ Brodie

CGY (27)

0.7144

37

0.7778

14

1.4922

7

Justin Braun

SJS (5)

0.8200

10

0.6524

45

1.4725

8

Marc Staal

NYR (6)

0.7245

35

0.7293

27

1.4539

9

Lubomir Visnovsky

NYI (18)

0.5865

99

0.8519

6

1.4383

10

Anton Stralman

NYR (6)

0.5564

109

0.8575

5

1.4140

11

Niklas Hjalmarsson

CHI (2)

0.9060

4

0.5071

110

1.4131

12

Matt Donovan (R)

NYI (18)

0.6473

59

0.7436

23

1.3909

13

James Wisniewski

CBJ (13)

0.5866

98

0.7778

14

1.3644

14

Cam Fowler

ANA (15)

0.9105

3

0.4473

146

1.3577

15

Niklas Kronwall

DET (12)

0.7537

26

0.5840

69

1.3377

16

Christian Ehrhoff

BUF (30)

0.8088

14

0.5271

103

1.3359

17

Matt Niskanen

PIT (16)

0.5265

119

0.8091

10

1.3356

18

Ron Hainsey

CAR (21)

0.7628

25

0.5670

75

1.3297

19

Victor Hedman

TBL (10)

0.5745

101

0.7550

21

1.3295

20

Alex Goligoski

DAL (11)

0.7810

20

0.5413

97

1.3223

21

Johnny Boychuk

BOS (3)

0.6327

68

0.6809

39

1.3136

22

Jason Demers

SJS (5)

0.6178

83

0.6923

36

1.3101

23

David Schlemko

PHX (14)

0.5454

113

0.7578

19

1.3032

24

Brian Campbell

FLA (17)

0.6364

66

0.6667

41

1.3031

25

Jeff Petry

EDM (28)

0.7826

19

0.5157

109

1.2983

26

David Rundblad

PHX (14) CHI (2)

0.4878

141

0.8063

11

1.2940

27

Johnny Oduya

CHI (2)

0.8148

13

0.4786

124

1.2934

28

Brenden Dillon

DAL (11)

0.7356

32

0.5470

89

1.2826

29

Braydon Coburn

PHI (22)

0.6937

43

0.5869

66

1.2806

30

Tyler Myers

BUF (30)

0.8775

7

0.3989

168

1.2763

In the final two weeks of the regular season, Zdeno Chara overtook Mark Giordano to finish as the best possession defenceman for the three consecutive seasons included in this analysis.

Victor Hedman was ranked 19th. He will make an appearance with Kostka and Meszaros in the next phase of the 5-on-5 analysis of the defencemen as well.

Top 10 rookie possession defencemen for the 2013-’14 regular season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

12

Matt Donovan (R)

NYI (18)

0.6473

59

0.7436

23

1.3909

35

Calvin de Haan (R)

NYI (18)

0.5226

122

0.7151

32

1.2377

49

Sami Vatanen (R)

ANA (15)

0.5031

133

0.6923

36

1.1954

60

Mattias Ekholm (R)

NSH (19)

0.6181

81

0.5442

94

1.1623

61

Brett Bellemore (R)

CAR (21)

0.7372

31

0.4245

159

1.1617

66

Seth Jones (R)

NSH (19)

0.6029

95

0.5470

89

1.1500

81

Martin Marincin (R)

EDM (28)

0.4780

148

0.6325

52

1.1105

85

Chad Ruhwedel (R)

BUF (30)

0.6135

88

0.4929

116

1.1064

89

Mark Pysyk (R)

BUF (30)

0.6383

64

0.4644

132

1.1027

97

Aaron Ness (R)

NYI (18)

0.6218

79

0.4530

141

1.0748

A very good year for New York Islanders and Nashville Predators rookies. There also appears to be some help on the way for the Buffalo Sabres next season.

Montreal Canadiens

Rank

Player

Team(s)

DQ

Rank

TQA CF%

Rank

DQ+TQA CF%

39

Andrei Markov

MTL (26)

0.6181

82

0.6097

55

1.2278

43

P.K. Subban

MTL (26)

0.5722

102

0.6439

50

1.2161

45

Raphael Diaz

MTL (26) NYR (6) VAN (9)

0.6756

48

0.5385

99

1.2140

51

Mike Weaver

FLA (17) MTL (26)

0.7525

27

0.4387

151

1.1913

53

Josh Gorges

MTL (26)

0.8778

6

0.3077

198

1.1855

118

Nathan Beaulieu (R)

MTL (26)

0.6189

80

0.4046

166

1.0235

138

Jarred Tinordi (R)

MTL (26)

0.3542

203

0.6011

60

0.9553

187

Alexei Emelin

MTL (26)

0.5583

107

0.2764

204

0.8346

196

Francis Bouillon

MTL (26)

0.6149

85

0.2023

221

0.8172

226

Douglas Murray

MTL (26)

0.6071

92

0.0712

240

0.6783

Most of the Canadiens’ players dropped a few positions in the possession rankings in the final two weeks of the regular season, with exceptions being Josh Gorges, Francis Bouillon, and Douglas Murray.

So that's a summary of the best and worst possession defencemen when taking Corsi values and deployment quality into consideration. But possession doesn’t tell the whole story; you need to be able to convert that possession into goal-scoring if you hope to have success in a hockey game.

In the next part of this analysis, I factor in 5-on-5 production to determine who were the best overall 5-vs-5 defencemen in the NHL in each of the last three seasons.

Overall 5-on-5 quality

I have combined the factors used in determining the possession rankings (deployment quality and team-quality-adjusted Corsi-for percentage) with a modified 5-on-5 scoring tally that weighs the points a player accrues over the course of the season by the difficulty with which they are scored.

P1+

P1+ treats goals and primary assists (collectively ‘primary points’) as having equal value, and as being more impressive than secondary assists by giving a player only half credit for those secondary assists. So it is primary points plus half of secondary assists, or P1+ for short.

Below are tables for the top 10 defencemen in terms of P1+ for the 2011-’12, 2012-’13, and 2013-'14 seasons, with total points and points ranking included for comparison.

2011-’12 best P1+

Player

Team(s)

G

A

A1

A2

P

P Rank

P1+

P1+ Rank

Erik Karlsson

OTT (8)

16

30

16

14

46

1

39.0

1

Keith Yandle

PHX (15)

10

19

11

8

29

2

25.0

2

Dustin Byfuglien

WPG (13)

6

22

10

12

28

4

22.0

3

Zdeno Chara

BOS (5)

4

24

10

14

28

4

21.0

4

Kevin Bieksa

VAN (7)

5

24

7

17

29

2

20.5

5

Ryan McDonagh

NYR (19)

6

19

10

9

25

7

20.5

5

Brent Seabrook

CHI (6)

7

18

6

12

25

7

19.0

7

Kris Letang

PIT (1)

3

20

11

9

23

11

18.5

8

Kevin Shattenkirk

STL (3)

4

19

10

9

23

11

18.5

8

Dan Boyle

SJS (11)

4

24

5

19

28

4

18.5

8

Dan Boyle is ranked tied for 8th in this list despite having one of the three point totals that tied for fourth best in the league because the majority of those points were secondary assists.

2012-’13 highest P1+

Player

Team(s)

G

A

A1

A2

P

P Rank

P1+

P1+ Rank

Kris Letang

PIT (18)

3

18

10

8

21

1

17.0

1

Keith Yandle

PHX (14)

5

13

6

7

18

2

14.5

2

Victor Hedman

TBL (26)

3

14

7

7

17

3

13.5

3

John Carlson

WSH (20)

6

10

4

6

16

4

13.0

4

Ryan McDonagh

NYR (9)

3

12

7

5

15

7

12.5

5

Zdeno Chara

BOS (4)

4

9

7

2

13

18

12.0

6

Jay Bouwmeester

CGY (22) STL (10)

6

6

5

1

12

25

11.5

7

Cody Franson

TOR (30)

1

15

6

9

16

4

11.5

7

Dan Hamhuis

VAN (8)

3

12

5

7

15

7

11.5

7

Fedor Tyutin

CBJ (25)

3

10

7

3

13

18

11.5

7

Jay Bouwmeester only scored 12 points in the 2012-’13 season, but he had to put in most of the work to do so, scoring 11 primary points to jump to T-7th in the P1+ rankings.

2013-’14 highest P1+

Dustin Byfuglien played a large portion of his time this season at the forward position, so keep that in mind when looking at the scoring-based metrics for the 2013-'14 season.

Player

Team(s)

G

A

A1

A2

P

P Rank

P1+

P1+ Rank

Erik Karlsson

OTT (8)

14

23

11

12

37

1

31.0

1

Victor Hedman

TBL (10)

8

24

16

8

32

3

28.0

2

Duncan Keith

CHI (2)

3

31

11

20

34

2

24.0

3

Alex Pietrangelo

STL (7)

5

23

12

11

28

4

22.5

4

Dustin Byfuglien

WPG (20)

11

15

7

8

26

5

22.0

5

Hampus Lindholm (R)

ANA (15)

5

20

12

8

25

9

21.0

6

Roman Josi

NSH (19)

10

13

8

5

23

11

20.5

7

Shea Weber

NSH (19)

8

18

7

11

26

5

20.5

7

Brent Seabrook

CHI (2)

3

23

12

11

26

5

20.5

7

Alex Goligoski

DAL (11)

3

20

12

8

23

11

19.0

10

Primary-points-plus is a good indicator of who the best production players were over the course of a given season, but most of these players played a lot of minutes and had ample opportunity to score those points. To find the true best point-scorers, regardless of how many total minutes they were on the ice for, you need to factor their ice-time into the equation and look at their level of production per unit of time.

P1+/60

This is a measure of how many primary-plus points a player will score in a given amount of time, chosen as 60 minutes to match other rate statistics used. This is obtained by dividing the P1+ score by total 5-vs-5 time on ice to get primary-points-plus per minute, then multiplying that by 60 to get the P1+/60 number. Personally, I prefer inverted rate stats--dividing the minutes played by the stat in question to see how much time elapses between events--so I have also included ‘minutes per P1+’ in the tables below, showing how frequently a player scored points that add up to a value of 1 by the standards of the P1+ metric.

2011-’12 highest P1+/60

Player

Team(s)

GP

TOI

P1+

Rank

P1+/60

Minutes per P1+

Rank

Erik Karlsson

OTT (8)

81

1585.3

39.0

1

1.4761

40.6

1

Kris Letang

PIT (1)

51

893.6

18.5

8

1.2422

48.3

2

Andrej Meszaros

PHI (9)

62

978.8

18.0

11

1.1034

54.4

3

Dustin Byfuglien

WPG (13)

66

1240.7

22.0

3

1.0639

56.4

4

Keith Yandle

PHX (15)

82

1451.2

25.0

2

1.0336

58.0

5

Jeff Woywitka

NYR (19)

27

269.3

4.5

182

1.0026

59.8

6

Marc-Andre Bergeron

TBL (25)

43

663.0

11.0

71

0.9955

60.3

7

Tobias Enstrom

WPG (13)

62

1121.1

17.5

13

0.9366

64.1

8

Slava Voynov

LAK (2)

54

820.5

12.5

56

0.9141

65.6

9

Bruno Gervais

TBL (25)

50

624.7

9.5

95

0.9124

65.8

10

Some of the top overall point-producers are still represented in the top P1+/60, including the top three primary-plus point-scorers being in the top five, but by taking the actual time a player had during the season to put up his overall point total, players who received fewer minutes from their coaches or played in fewer games because of injuries, being a call-up from the minor leagues, or being scratched from the lineup aren’t penalized for that reduced potential point-producing time.

Erik Karlsson scored about 1.5 primary-plus points per 60 minutes of 5-on-5 time that season, or contributed points adding up to 1.5 by the P1+ formula in about an average 60 minute stretch of ice time (e.g. 1 goal and a secondary assist; 3 secondary assists). Or, as I prefer to understand this stat, he scored 1 P1+ about every 41 minutes of ice time he played, while Letang needed to play about 8 more minutes to accomplish that feat.

2012-’13 fewest Minutes per P1+

Player

Team(s)

GP

TOI

P1+

Rank

P1+/60

Minutes per P1+

Rank

Kris Letang

PIT (18)

35

620.2

17.0

1

1.6446

36.5

1

Jack Hillen

WSH (20)

23

354.1

8.0

47

1.3555

44.3

2

Robert Bortuzzo

PIT (18)

15

185.2

3.5

147

1.1339

52.9

3

Tomas Kaberle

MTL (6)

10

109.1

2.0

190

1.0999

54.6

4

Erik Karlsson

OTT (7)

17

330.6

6.0

76

1.0889

55.1

5

Paul Martin

PIT (18)

34

616.7

11.0

12

1.0702

56.1

6

Cody Franson

TOR (30)

45

647.8

11.5

7

1.0651

56.3

7

Victor Hedman

TBL (26)

44

766.4

13.5

3

1.0569

56.8

8

Keith Yandle

PHX (14)

48

843.0

14.5

2

1.0320

58.1

9

John Moore

CBJ (25) NYR (9)

30

370.7

6.0

76

0.9711

61.8

10

Kris Letang increased his point-scoring rate in the following season, and had quite a margin over the other defencemen in 2012-’13, while also producing at above the level of Karlsson the season prior. With that rate of point-scoring, he managed to lead the league in 5-on-5 points and P1+ despite playing more than 220 minutes less than the second-place defencemen in both of those categories, Keith Yandle. Yandle’s point-production is less-impressive when you factor in his 19th-highest 5-on-5 ice-time, though he was still able to score more than 1 primary-plus point in an average 60 minute stretch.

I also found this little nugget:

Player

Team(s)

GP

TOI

P1+

Rank

P1+/60

Minutes per P1+

Rank

Mike Weaver

FLA (17)

27

436.9

6.5

64

0.8927

67.2

17

P.K. Subban

MTL (6)

42

673.0

10.0

23

0.8915

67.3

18

2013-’14 best P1+/60

Player

Team(s)

GP

TOI

P1+

Rank

P1+/60

Minutes per P1+

Rank

Michael Kostka

TBL (10) CHI (2)

28

376.2

8.5

117

1.3557

44.3

1

Victor Hedman

TBL (10)

75

1240.7

28.0

2

1.3541

44.3

2

Andrej Meszaros

PHI (22) BOS (3)

52

782.6

16.5

21

1.2650

47.4

3

Steve Oleksy

WSH (24)

33

435.7

8.5

117

1.1705

51.3

4

Erik Karlsson

OTT (8)

82

1625.8

31.0

1

1.1441

52.4

5

Joe Corvo

OTT (8)

25

365.7

6.5

154

1.0664

56.3

6

Hampus Lindholm (R)

ANA (15)

78

1219.8

21.0

6

1.0330

58.1

7

Sami Vatanen (R)

ANA (15)

48

674.6

11.5

69

1.0228

58.7

8

Dustin Byfuglien

WPG (20)

78

1291.6

22.0

5

1.0220

58.7

9

Duncan Keith

CHI (2)

79

1422.4

24.0

3

1.0124

59.3

10

No defencemen scored P1+ at the rates seen by Karlsson in 2011-’12 and Letang in 2012-’13, but it was the best year of the three included in this analysis in terms of number of players scoring 1 primary-plus point in less than 60 minutes of 5-on-5 time (10).

Anaheim rookies Hampus Lindholm and Sami Vatenen really shone and look to have bright futures ahead of them.

Mike Kostka and Victor Hedman, both currently of the Tampa Bay Lightning, led the way with very impressive totals. Although if you remember back to the possession rankings for the 2013-’14 season, Kostka was one of the worst possession players, along with Andrej Meszaros who sits third in the above list, while Victor Hedman was one of the top players at 5-on-5 when combining his Corsi values with his deployment quality.

A player can have production without possession (Kostka and Meszaros) and also possession without production; David Rundblad’s 17-game season saw him occupy the 26th spot in the possession rankings, but he put up 0 5-vs-5 points, while Lubomir Visnovsky ranked 9th in those standings and had 2 secondary assists in 366 minutes of 5-on-5 ice-time. To understand who were the best players in a given season, you need to take both aspects into account.

Overall 5-on-5 quality scores and rankings

These rankings take the two previous metrics by which the possession score was calculated and adds in the P1+/60 values, normalized as the other two were to fall within the range of 0-1. These three numbers are considered to be of equal value in coming up with an overall ranking, which will therefore be a number from 0 (‘0’ for deployment quality + ‘0’ for team-quality-adjusted Corsi-for percentage + ‘0’ for primary-points-plus per 60 minutes) to 3 (‘1’ for DQ + ‘1’ for TQA CF% + ‘1’ for P1+/60).

This number, which I’ve called the Silver Score, will give a glimpse as to who were the worst and best players at 5-on-5 the last three seasons.

2011-'12 Regular Season

Worst 5-on-5 defencemen in the NHL for the 2011-’12 regular season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

GP

DQ

TQA CF%

P1+/60

Silver Score

211

Mark Fistric

DAL (17)

60

0.5614

0.3205

0.0000

0.8818

212

Scott Hannan

CGY (20)

78

0.5727

0.1246

0.1806

0.8779

213

John Moore

CBJ (27)

67

0.5611

0.1395

0.1767

0.8772

214

Andreas Lilja

PHI (9)

46

0.3943

0.1840

0.2845

0.8627

215

Theo Peckham

EDM (28)

54

0.5342

0.2196

0.0933

0.8471

216

Sami Lepisto

CHI (6)

26

0.0804

0.4896

0.2745

0.8445

217

Marc Methot

CBJ (27)

46

0.6088

0.0000

0.2277

0.8365

218

Steve Eminger

NYR (19)

42

0.4029

0.2166

0.2105

0.8300

219

Nick Schultz

MIN (30) EDM (28)

82

0.6569

0.1068

0.0631

0.8268

220

Erik Gustafsson

PHI (9)

30

0.2506

0.4303

0.1386

0.8195

221

Ryan Whitney

EDM (28)

51

0.4119

0.1039

0.2990

0.8147

222

Chris Summers

PHX (15)

21

0.1729

0.3145

0.3148

0.8023

223

Colten Teubert

EDM (28)

24

0.4093

0.2938

0.0955

0.7986

224

Derek Morris

PHX (15)

59

0.3461

0.2552

0.1874

0.7887

225

Bryce Salvador

NJD (10)

82

0.4776

0.1840

0.1244

0.7860

226

Marc Staal

NYR (19)

46

0.5221

0.0178

0.2338

0.7737

227

Jeff Schultz

WSH (16)

54

0.3822

0.2018

0.1812

0.7651

228

Brendan Mikkelson

TBL (25)

41

0.2444

0.3798

0.1170

0.7412

229

Tim Erixon

NYR (19)

18

0.2956

0.1632

0.2544

0.7132

230

Mark Eaton

NYI (23)

62

0.5879

0.0415

0.0762

0.7056

231

Mike Mottau

NYI (23) BOS (5)

35

0.4834

0.1217

0.0943

0.6994

232

Randy Jones

WPG (13)

39

0.3166

0.3027

0.0754

0.6947

233

Adam Pardy

DAL (17)

36

0.3105

0.3501

0.0271

0.6877

234

Douglas Murray

SJS (11)

60

0.4509

0.1098

0.1064

0.6671

235

Cam Barker

EDM (28)

25

0.4599

0.1395

0.0644

0.6637

236

Keith Aulie

TBL (25) TOR (24)

36

0.5130

0.0564

0.0938

0.6632

237

Kurtis Foster

NJD(10) MIN(30) ANA(22)

51

0.2505

0.2404

0.1236

0.6145

238

Derek Joslin

CAR (21)

44

0.0894

0.1721

0.2591

0.5206

239

John Erskine

WSH (16)

28

0.0184

0.3858

0.0836

0.4877

240

Dylan Olsen

CHI (6)

28

0.0000

0.3086

0.0129

0.3216

Best 5-on-5 defencemen in the NHL for the 2011-’12 regular season

Rank

Player

Team(s)

GP

DQ

TQA CF%

P1+/60

Silver Score

1

Zdeno Chara

BOS (5)

79

0.8350

0.8220

0.5642

2.2211

2

Erik Karlsson

OTT (8)

81

0.4650

0.6795

1.0000

2.1446

3

Kris Letang

PIT (1)

51

0.5190

0.6202

0.8335

1.9727

4

Nikita Nikitin

CBJ (27) STL (3)

61

0.8088

0.5460

0.5596