Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Sob City: Clippers Swept By Spurs

Habs Top 25 Under 25: #4 Lars Eller

Lars Eller could find himself centering a offensively charged third line with the Montreal Canadiens in 2011-12.  (Photo by Richard Wolowicz/Getty Images)

This time last season the talk amongst the majority of Montreal Canadiens fans was whether trading Jaroslav Halak away, and keeping Carey Price was the right thing to do. We're one season removed and the disbelievers quickly hopped on the cowboy bandwagon.

In the mix of course was the acquisition of Lars Eller, rated the St. Louis Blues top prospect at the time of the trade. Eller's potential was clearly not over-sighted by our panel last season, as he held the No. 3 slot in our 2010 edition of The Top 25 U25.

Many wondered if Eller would manage to earn a spot with the big club last fall, and he did just that. The majority of his playing time was split between the third and fourth lines, prompting many to question whether or not he would be better suited to develop another year with the Hamilton Bulldogs of the AHL.

Coach Jacques Martin felt he could learn more at the NHL level. Eller finished the regular season with 17 points (7goals and 10 assists). Nine of those points came in his final 24 games.

He played a solid seven-game series against the Boston Bruins, and was an effective shut down center, despite battling a shoulder injury that would require off-season surgery in the latter half of the series.

Early expectations had the 22-year-old missing training camp and possibly, the start of the season, but a recent report from La Presse's Marc-Antoine Godin has the Dane confident he will be at camp in September.

"Certainly I will be there from the start of camp. I will participate in some exercises, but I must take things as they come," Eller said.

Eyes will be on No. 81 this season, and many feel this could be a breakout season for him. He was also listed as of the three up and coming Habs players to watch in NHL.com's 30 in 30.

Star-divide

Eller_4_medium

Strengths: Eller's size gives him a huge advantage. He stands at 6'1 and despite his shoulder recuperation, has managed to keep the muscle mass maintained. He put on 15 lbs in his summer rehab and workouts (hopefully not Guillaume Latendresse 15lbs) tips the scales just over 200lbs.

His play-making abilities and hockey sense were well noted in his pre-NHL career. Chris Boucher broke down the Habs top o-zone pressure makers and killers noting Eller led the team in both overall chances and positive scores. The downside was that he also led in lost battles in the o-zone, but given he would be matched against stronger opposition, his final risk/reward numbers fair better than Tomas Plekanec and Scott Gomez.

If Andrei Kostitsyn has a more typical AK46 season, it could make Eller centering the Habs 3rd line a lethal one offensively. The pair seemed to be getting some chemistry together as the season progressed, and will likely have David Desharnais or Mathieu Darche on the other wing.

Eller can also play a solid two-way game, both as a center and on the wing, and under Martin's system has managed to deter the critics of his defensive game. His learning curve still needs to grow in the neutral/defensive zones away from the puck, but it certainly paid off in the playoffs where he led the team in overall risk/reward.

Weaknesses: His shot isn't exactly NHL caliber, and LionsInWinter's Chris Topham noted his scoring instinct may be a bit suspect as some close chances were missed or opted out on. Yes he's deemed a play-maker, but he needs to attack when the opportunity arises. Eller's new found body mass will be put to the test as well for battles in the corners and in the crease area, as well as throwing out a few big hits.

 

 

Playing smart is also a big necessity for the young Dane in 2011-12. Many of his 48 penalty minutes (all minors) were ill-timed with 11 minors coming with under5 minutes remaining. When Eller made foolish plays, he learned his lesson by riding the pine.

Analysis: With Gomez and Plekanec set up in front of him, Lars Eller will have to be comfortable for some time being the Habs No. 3 center. Last season he saw little time on the power play, but a strong camp and start to the season should get him rewarded with more time with the man advantage and more overall TOI than the 11 minutes per game he saw last year.

The incentive of this being a contract year should also see him step up in 2011-12, with one fantasy projection putting him just into the 30 point range..

"Last year, my goal was to establish myself in the NHL. Now I have to bring my game to the next level and contribute more points offensively. I still believe that that’s how I’m most effective even if I didn’t get the chance to showcase it as much as I would have liked," explained Eller . "I plan to build on that performance this year. I’m hoping to get handed some more responsibility and some more ice time. I have to take things one step at a time, but my goal is to improve every element of my game." Lars Eller on canadiens.com

 

#5: Nathan Beaulieu #4: Lars Eller #3: Max Pacioretty

Comment 17 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Eller didn’t play much with offensively talented wingers at center and was terrible on the wing. I’m very interested to see what he can do now that Montreal has the winger depth to pair him with someone good.

by Stephan Cooper on Aug 31, 2011 1:16 AM EDT reply actions  

I’m really hoping they go for three scoring lines and stick DD on left wing with Kostitsyn on Eller’s right.

Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/andrewberkshire

by Andrew Berkshire on Aug 31, 2011 11:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

The more I think about this (and I’ve spent way too much time thinking about the habs bottom-6), My guess would be that Eller is #3 C, Desharnais #4 C and when Martin shortens his bench, Moen/Darche/White/Whomever is with Eller and Winger #5 is benched and Desharnais slides on the 3rd line wing.

That would be at the beginning of the year. After 20 games, anything goes.

by Olivier on Aug 31, 2011 11:57 AM EDT up reply actions  

That does sound more like Martin than my idea. And you’re right, after 20 games (maybe even 10) I don’t think any of us have a clue what the lines will look like. Hopefully Markov is still playing at that point.

Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/andrewberkshire

by Andrew Berkshire on Aug 31, 2011 12:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

I expect that as well. Moen is a very competent defensive forward and Darche is excellent as a soft minutes offensive producer so either would be a good compliment to Eller’s line. Desharnais is a natural center and this set up allows him to continue to rampage against 4th lines.

by Stephan Cooper on Sep 1, 2011 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

I can’t understand where all this media is coming from on how Eller has put on so much weight. It must have been a made up rumor that everyone is running with because he was listed at 198 lbs at the beginning of last season.

by Stephen Ryan on Aug 31, 2011 11:40 AM EDT reply actions  

He was listed at 198 during his draft year, and he lost weight as he got in better shape. Now he’s started to pack on lean muscle. It’s not a made up rumour, you just misunderstood.

Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/andrewberkshire

by Andrew Berkshire on Aug 31, 2011 11:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Hopefully he can be like Pacioretty and slowly add mass and strength without sacrificing speed.

by Stephan Cooper on Aug 31, 2011 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s definitely the ideal. Eller added a lot this summer though so he might be a half step slower.

Follow me on twitter: http://twitter.com/andrewberkshire

by Andrew Berkshire on Aug 31, 2011 1:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

I kind of wonder who put him 8th. I have a hard time picturing how you’d get seven players you’d put ahead of him. obviousy, Subban and Price, probably Pacioretty too, and then who? I mean if you stretch you might put Beaulieu if you’re very high on him, otherwise, Leblanc is both less developped and projects as a lesser player, Weber and Tinordi’s upside is at most a second-pairing D (and I don’t see Tinordi reaching that), and everyone else is a project who might not get to the NHL in the first place.

How many players do the Habs have who project as potential first-liners, as second-liners at the low end, and are already NHL-caliber at 22?

by MathMan on Aug 31, 2011 3:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I had him at 3. Wasn’t sure about Max Pac’s recovery and if he will be the same player, if he hadn’t been decapitated he would have been my 3.

by Chris Boyle on Aug 31, 2011 3:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

We’ll reveal the voting next week. I assume the voter just had a lower opinion of Eller’s upside moreso than a higher one of the players you mention. With 8 voters, there’s bound to be some discrepancies.

For the record, three of the eight had Beaulieu ahead of Eller in some form, myself included.

Puck Worlds: Chasing Pucks from here to Turku.

For Twitter Updates on Puck Worlds, follow @puckworlds. For updates plus additional witty banter from yours truly, follow @saskhab.

by Bruce Peter on Aug 31, 2011 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

It all depends on what your idea of prospect is.

We know Eller is going to be a 3rd line center minimum, but what did Blues fans think his potential was in June 2007? I bet they thought he had the opportunity to be a 1st/2nd line player. Now if we measure Eller with zero warts in 2007 against Beaulieu in 2011 what are the results?

Cam Barker was a can’t miss. He was going to be an anchor for the Hawks. He is struggling to stay in the league because of expectation. Next season what happens if Beaulieu struggles? Does he get the Max Pacioretty treatment?

This is from last seasons preview.

This inability to translate his offensive game as a professional (he also only has 8 goals in 55 career AHL games) has brought up some interesting questions. Topham at Lions in Winter, who took part in this project, wonders if Pacioretty might be worth converting into a defender, given his strong skating ability, good passing, and strong understanding of the defensive game. It’s a bit of a left field proposition, but we have seen players like Craig Rivet and Andrei Markov move from forward to defense with great success, so there is precedent. However, doing so would be giving up on one of the Habs more promising forward prospects, and at this point seems unnecessary.

Questioning his offensive potential? Switching to defense? How quickly things change in one calendar season. Beaulieu is wart free at this point, we will see if that happens should he plateau in the Q or struggle in the AHL.

I know Eller can hang in the NHL already. He has a high pedigree (1st rounder), has strong AHL production on his resume and improved in large strides over the last 2-3 months. I can’t put a kid with upside that dropped 10 spots in the draft ahead of him. He is not a can’t miss IMO. I like his potential, which is why I put him at 5, but I want to see him play with men before I put him in the category of players like Price, Subban, Pacioretty and Eller.

by Chris Boyle on Aug 31, 2011 5:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nevermind, looks like you found the panelist!

http://www.lionsinwinter.ca/2011/08/ellers-burden.html

Puck Worlds: Chasing Pucks from here to Turku.

For Twitter Updates on Puck Worlds, follow @puckworlds. For updates plus additional witty banter from yours truly, follow @saskhab.

by Bruce Peter on Aug 31, 2011 5:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Indeed! Although I’m still puzzled about who’d end up ahead of him on that putative ballot. I’m guessing Weber would have be one, if one sees Eller as topping as a third-liner and Weber as a second-pairing PMD. That does seem awfully pessimistic on Eller though.

Meanwhile I’ll try to survive the suspense of who between Subban and Price ends up #1. ;)

by MathMan on Sep 1, 2011 4:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not to give anything away on the exact rankings put there were some that may have a more positive view of prospect players like for example Kristo, Avtsin, Gallagher etc. Thus ranking Eller lower. I will say that at least one person had Kristo way higher than I would have thought, although I was one of Kristo’s detractors so my opinion on him is off the average.

by Stephan Cooper on Sep 1, 2011 5:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh crap, we forgot about Price! :p

Puck Worlds: Chasing Pucks from here to Turku.

For Twitter Updates on Puck Worlds, follow @puckworlds. For updates plus additional witty banter from yours truly, follow @saskhab.

by Bruce Peter on Sep 1, 2011 5:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the SB Nation blog about the Montreal Canadiens.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recent FanPosts

Triple_low_five_small
The Bergevin Bunch – Who should be on the Canadiens’ Shortlist?
Triple_low_five_small
Anti-GM Race: The Search for the Worst Candidate
Triple_low_five_small
Habs GM Search: My Personal Shortlist
Ts_small
Vintage Hockey Jersey Scam
Predsgame_small
So yeah...
Lokomotiv_yaroslavl_logo_small
Welcome Mount Royal Soccer to SB Nation
Triple_low_five_small
The Montreal Canadiens and the Future
Picture_1_small
Other Crazy Eklund Trade Rumours
Picture_1_small
Randy Cunneyworth's Link To Homer Simpson

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

A Glossary of Analytical Stat Terms

For those unfamiliar with common terms on EOTP such as Fenwick, PDO or relative Corsi, here is a handy explanation.

Click here to access the glossary


Managing Editor

2987845178_b30976f7f9_small Kevin van Steendelaar

Feature Editors

A_new_eotp_logo_small Robert L

P1020029_small Andrew Berkshire

Butch-montreal__2__-_copie__4__small Francis B.

Small Chris Boyle

Lokomotiv_yaroslavl_logo_small Bruce Peter

Small Stephan Cooper

Contributing Writers

Small Olivier

Jp_small Joe Pelletier

Profile_small Melissa_Boufounos