FanPost

Habs Penalty Differential and the Benching of Young Players

Jacques Martin has a habit of benching Benoit  Poulliot and Lars Eller after a penalty, much to the consternation of these talented young men’s boosters, who ask for the same treatment for veterans. Scott Gomez’s name often comes up, for stupid reasons as we’ll discuss later. 

The key difference is how often these players get penalized, not the specific instance. Also important is how often they draw penalties, which is why Max Pacioretty, P.K. Subban and Ryan White don’t get benched.  Below is the per 60 minutes even strength penalties taken and drawn and the differential of the two.

 

 

Montreal has a PP of 18.8 and PK of 83.8, meaning that the value of players in goals per 60 even strength minutes due to penalty taking/drawing is:

Drawn

GP60 Value (PP=18.8)

Taken

GP60 negative value (PK=83.8, opposing PP=16.2)

Penalty Differential

Goals per 60 minutes ES differential

Poulliot

0.9

0.1692

1.7

-0.2754

-0.8

-0.1062

Eller

0.7

0.1316

1.6

-0.2592

-0.9

-0.1276

Hamrlik

0.2

0.0376

1.3

-0.2106

-1.1

-0.173

Subban

1.2

0.2256

1.3

-0.2106

-0.1

0.015

Pacioretty

1.7

0.3196

1.1

-0.1782

0.6

0.1414

White

1.7

0.3196

1

-0.162

0.7

0.1576

Halpern

1

0.188

0.9

-0.1458

0.1

0.0422

Plekanec

0.8

0.1504

0.9

-0.1458

-0.1

0.0046

Desharnais

0.9

0.1692

0.9

-0.1458

0

0.0234

Gorges

0.5

0.094

0.8

-0.1296

-0.3

-0.0356

Kostitsyn

0.3

0.0564

0.7

-0.1134

-0.4

-0.057

Spacek

0.6

0.1128

0.7

-0.1134

-0.1

-0.0006

Darche

0.7

0.1316

0.6

-0.0972

0.1

0.0344

Cammalleri

1

0.188

0.6

-0.0972

0.4

0.0908

Gionta

0.5

0.094

0.5

-0.081

0

0.013

Wisniewski

0.9

0.1692

0.5

-0.081

0.4

0.0882

Weber

0.3

0.0564

0.5

-0.081

-0.2

-0.0246

Moen

1

0.188

0.4

-0.0648

0.6

0.1232

Gill

0.1

0.0188

0.4

-0.0648

-0.3

-0.046

Gomez

0.6

0.1128

0.4

-0.0648

0.2

0.048

Picard

0.1

0.0188

0.4

-0.0648

-0.3

-0.046

Pyatt

0.6

0.1128

0.1

-0.0162

0.5

0.0966

 

  • Roman Hamrlik costs the team big in penalties, if he wasn’t an essential tough minute eater his ice team would be severely curtailed. 
  • Subban takes more penalties than he draws but Montreal’s good specialty teams play (of which he is a major part) means that the team actually comes out ahead.  The same effect, less amplified, applies to Tomas Plekanec
  • Paciorety, White, Mike Cammalleri, James Wisniewski and Pyatt are the Habs with the best differential.
  • Pyatt is an interesting case; he doesn’t draw many penalties, but plays fantastically disciplined. If we take a penalty draw as being worth PP%*assist then about 1/6th of Pyatt’s effective even strength offense is actually from having the discipline to take virtually no penalties while drawing his fair share.
  • Gomez gets ripped on for taking penalties and Martin is ripped on for not benching him for them. This is ridiculous and probably a result of people letting their disdain for Gomez’s bad counting stats and terrible cap hit to bias themselves against the other parts of Gomez’s game. Gomez draws more penalties than he takes (he takes very few), which is part of why he isn’t on Eller’s and Poulliot’s tight leash.  This isn't to say that Gomez isn't deserving a benching, but if he was it's not due to taking penalties.

 

Stats from Behindthenet.ca and NHL.com

Fanpost content is created by members of the community and is not published by the authors, editors, or manager of Eyes on the Prize.

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