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Around SBN: Lakers Should Trade Andrew Bynum So He Doesn't Go To Waste

Habs Need to Turn the Page, and 5 Key Elements for 2012

"No matter how good or bad a call it is, you can’t let it affect you" - Erik Cole, Dec 29 2011

The Montreal Canadiens get one last kick at the can to straighten out the year 2011. After last night's dismal outcome against the Tampa Bay Lightning, the Habs play their final game of the year against the Florida Panthers on Saturday.

Right now, things do not look at all promising for le Bleu, Blanc et Rouge in terms of a playoff spot in 2012. Yes, there is lots of hockey to play (44 games), but the boys are amongst a pack of teams from 6th to 15th, separated by 11 points. All but one of those teams, the Carolina Hurricanes, has played more games than them. That leaves several clubs with as many as three games in hand.

Can they do it? Well yes, of course. We have to be optimistic here. After all, teams can and have done it before and will do it again.

Last night's game was a game won on paper by the Habs, but throw in some oddities such as the J.T. Wyman and Marc-Andre Bergeron goals and a hot goalie in Mathieu Garon and this is what you get. It's hard to knock Carey Price for one bad game on the season, especially considering he kept them in a deceivingly lopsided win against the Senators on Tuesday.

The Habs played very well in the first two periods, but much like a broken record this season, things did fall apart in the third and they gave up a two-goal lead.

Best thing for them to do is put the loss behind them and move forward to Saturday's game. Like I said there is still lots of hockey to be played, so let's not jump ship just yet.

Star-divide

To get out of the cellar dweller pack and into a playoff spot, where anything can and does happen, I've put my list of elements needed to make this happen. Take in mind I am merely an armchair GM, just like the rest of you.

1. A healthy 2012: The Canadiens have yet to see the light of Andrei Markov and Ryan White this season. We already know about Markov and what his absence means on the blue line, so no need to really divulge further. Upswing to No. 79's healthy return is that it gives Pierre Gauthier some bargaining chips in Chris Campoli and maybe Yannick Weber come trade deadline time.

White is expected back some time in January and, provided he's 100%, can make a huge impact on the fourth line. In 27 games last season, he had 70 hits and was plus-5.

The Canadiens desperately need Brian Gionta and Scott Gomez's presence back on the ice.While Gomez is more a behind the scenes influence, Gionta's leadership is a tremendous loss. We saw the same thing happen in Montreal in 2009, when the then co-alternate captain missed half of November and all but three games in December.

2. A better travel schedule: Well they get that in 2012, even though the game count is 23 at home and 21 on the road.

January is an opportunity for the Habs to recharge with just three road games (one pair back-to-back), and the All-Star Break over the weekend of the 21st. Six of their 11 opponents are in that 6 through 15 pack, so if there was a chance to benefit from a turnaround, January would be it. I wouldn't be surprised to see Carey Price get every start in the first month of 2012.

February is a split month, that practically is an every other game day, ending with a three-game road trip.

March will be the big test . It holds the team's final extended road trip (four games), that includes three games in Western Canada. They also play three sets of Friday-Saturday games in the final three weekends of that month,

The Canadiens only have six games left against Western opponents, so they have lots of ample four-point game opportunities. Thirteen of their games in 2012 are against Northeast Division competition.

3. A solid faceoff man: While Petteri Nokelainen is doing an admirable job on the fourth line, the other three centers are struggling below fifty percent. In fact ,no top-three line center has surpassed fifty-one percent in the past two seasons. While it was no as big a deal in those seasons, where everything else was clicking sufficiently, that will not cut it for the remaining three months of the season, given the position the Canadiens are in.

If Scott Gomez can return, that does give the Habs a pair of regular 50-50 guys in the dots (Tomas Plekanec being the other). If he can't anytime soon, does Pierre Gauthier look for a Dominic Moore, Eric Belanger type player to strengthen things up the middle? Without question, yes.

4. Playing smart and consistent: The injury issue, in light of who is hurt, has to be over-sighted by the healthy players on the team. Countless players, past and present have shown the ability to play through adversity and injuries.

This group is more than capable of doing it, with the level of talent they have, but has only shown it in glimpses or clusters. If every player played at least three of four shifts shifts like Erik Cole does almost every shift now, the team's record would be far better than what we see now.

5. A real fast learning curve for RC: Randy Cunneyworth essentially got the coaching job thrust down his throat with the unnecessary removal of Jacques Martin. While his record doesn't look great at 1-5, he did give the team's fourth line a vote of confidence by upping their TOI in his first two games. The trio is back to realistic minutes and playing as a fourth line needs to play. It can only get better with White's return.

His decision to bench both P.K. Subban and Lars Eller on the same night, well that did take some balls. Though they lost that game, he sent a message that he treats all his player equally.Mike Cammalleri appears to be getting and responding to that message.

Now the downside is that Cunneyworth will need that big turnaround to get this team into the playoffs and give him any chance at the full-time gig. He knows it and, unfortunately for him, so do his players. If they follow suit and step up in their performances, it could be a win-win for both. But RC needs to find a way to maintain it over a course of several games, and fast.

Roster update from Friday's practice: J.F Chaumont tweeted that there were no line changes, or defensive pairing adjustments, made the team's Friday Practice.

Post game links and other worthy reads

Advanced Stats: Shift Charts / Head to Head / Corsi & Fenwick

Dome Hockey Team

The Numbers Game

Winning reactions at Raw Charge

Erik Engels 10 questions

Olivier Bouchard on the absence of Scott Gomez

Chris Boucher on Jarred Tinordi's first WJC game

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The “necessary removal” of Jacques Martin?

Allow me to disagree in the most strongest terms possible. The removal of Jacques Martin was not only unnecessary, it was actively harmful to the club.

And the jury is still out on Randy, though he seems to have wandered into the realm of basic competence, which is a nice chance from his first three or games.

by MathMan on Dec 30, 2011 2:14 PM EST reply actions  

That should have read unnecessary. SBN spell check appears to have kicked it back. Correction coming.

Kevin van Steendelaar

http://www.twitter.com/kvansteendelaar

but don't forget...

http://www.twitter.com/HabsEOTP

by Kevin van Steendelaar on Dec 30, 2011 3:59 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Okay sorry for snapping. It seemed completely out of place.

by MathMan on Dec 30, 2011 5:02 PM EST via iPhone app up reply actions  

When I read it as “necessary” the first time I thought it would get a reaction.

by TrevaDaddy on Dec 30, 2011 5:19 PM EST up reply actions  

The 3 point games, might make it difficult for the habs to leap frog ahead of the teams in front of them, and holding games in hand as well. If they become sellers at the trade deadline, I just hope they make some smart moves.

by bolder on Dec 30, 2011 6:54 PM EST reply actions  

Couple of points Kevin....

1) Upgrade at Centre to improve face-off efficiency. I stated that earlier in the year that that more coaching…specifically a “specialist” along the likes of Yannick Perreault be brought in. But the consensus here was no its not a big deal. But too many times we’re beat off the draw and its in the back of the net. Additionally, we seem to be the only team that never uses the 2 centres in our own end to take a draw. You can talk all your stats here but puck possession starts with controlling and winning the face-offs. We clearly don’t pay attention to that.
If we were to upgrade and grab another centre who is definitely better at winning face-offs and has a winning % lets say 60% or better….who goes from the group now…where do we fit Mr. X in ? We have Plexs, Eller, DD and Nokes and you want Gomez back. That’s 5 into 4 positions. So for sake of argument…Nokes goes to wing on the 4th for Gomez. Now where does Mr. X go?

2) Firing of JM…..when the PG fired Pearn….the team went 5 games into the 2 man forecheck play. It was agressive and quite successful. The Ranger game was an anomaly. But after that…JM dropped the 2-1-2 and went back to the bread & butter he knew best. He stifled the play of the team and hoped for his dream game of 2-1. He showed no imagination when it game to SO’s. Why was Cole and AK never used? His refusal to get Emelin into the line-up, Darche over Cole on the PP, the list goes on. Look at the difference in Eller’s play. I was shocked at his earlier use this year. I thought after his gutsy performance in the playoffs vs. Boston last spring he would have earned some extra minutes. But no Darchenov kept getting all these minutes with zero results. Gomez kept getting extra ice and the same. He took no reference to the play & chemistry that Eller & AK had last year. It was his stubborness that got him fired. I know there were injuries and the line-up is taxed in many ways thanx to PG but he contributed to line-up woes himself whether to spite PG or his dislike of certain players or their styles.

Sorry for the length here. :) Overall I like your shopping list of ideas.

"It's only through change we learn to grow".

by Canadian Jet on Dec 31, 2011 2:30 AM EST reply actions  

I agree with you on one point: they need one more center. Nokia can be useful as a winger who takes faceoffs, but then again it seems to me he’s not that good defensively so I’m not entirely convinced he’s that useful. But they need one more C, that’s for sure.

I disagree about Martin and Eller. Martin brought Eller along slowly, yes, but you look at the last season and a half and Eller went: 4th line LW, took over Boyd as 4th C, then top-9 RW, then took over Halpern as 3rd C, this year started as Pleks LW (as big as it gets as far as matchups are concerned), then when Gomez went down Eller became 3rd C again and, once Gomez went down for good, after a couple of games Eller became the second defensive zone faceoffs-taker after Plekanec. Make no mistakes, in Jacques Martin’s system, that’s a promotion.

It seems to me that RC is sticking to the plan and Eller now has taken the last step forward by getting to play with Cole and Pacioretty: bona fide tough minutes center, at long last relegating Desharnais to exploitation/offensive zone specialist, a role DD is marvelously gifted for. At long last, Plekanec now has true, reliable help as far as heavy-lifting goes.

If Gionta can come back quickly, he pushes one of AKost or Moen out of the top-6 and onto Cammy/DD’s line. They are not dead yet. But yeah, they need to string a killer january together and having only 3 road games will help. Martin knew how to work the matchups; hopefully RC is good at this too.

by Olivier on Dec 31, 2011 12:04 PM EST up reply actions  

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