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The Key is for Canadiens to be Potentially Better, Younger, and More Efficient

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Since the trading of goalie Jaroslav Halak to St. Louis and the signing of Alex Auld to act as Carey Price's backup for the 2010-11, there has been much consternation among Habs fans that the team has simply not been improved over the summer. For those of you who feel this way, I have been among you, thinking along similar lines as I see it.

For a few weeks now, I must admit, that I did not "get it" all the while endorsing the Halak trade for general team improvement purposes.

As I saw it, dealing Halak was both understood and neccessary in order to retain Tomas Plekanec, but after that, Pierre Gauthier lost me somewhat, and it has to do with one signed contract since (Pouliot), two that remain unsigned (Price and Lapierre), and one player that is being allowed to get away (Moore).

What has some thinkers itching their noggins, is the timing of the Halak trade, in regards to Price remaining unsigned. It has been read in some parts that by dealing Halak before signing Price, negotiation leverage was lost, and that now, the Canadiens starter has the GM backed into a corner.

While that in part may be fact, there was no way for a contrary scenario to unfold.

Imagine now, if Gauthier, prior to trading Halak, approached Price and his agent, low-balling an offer in light of Halak's perceived number one status. Following the signing, Halak is moved, and the new number one is then being paid below a starters rate. Price would have rightfully seethed and felt duped!

Such would simply have been nogotiating in bad faith, and only a GM interested in tarnishing his own reputation would act in such a manner.

Price may hold some extra leverage as things unfold, but it can be seen that the Canadiens all along have been planning to reward him based on potential upside.

That all said, I thought the numbers allotted to forward Benoit Pouliot were a tad generous, considering his slide in the final 35 games. It is no unshared opinion that Pouliot must prove his worth all over again in 2010-11, although coming off his best season in his young career. Perhaps I was curveballed by the mixed message that Pouliot was the lone Hab player not tendered a qualifying offer by the deadline. The half million per annun raise, in that light, was surprising.

Now I could be totally wrong here, but Maxim Lapierre should have been one of the easier resignings for the Canadiens, but he likely got a whiff of Pouliot's raise and thought "Whoa!"

Like Pouliot, Lapierre's season fell below expectations, but unlike him, he had a solid playoff and surely feels he is worth similar numbers.

Dominic Moore is a player I respected before he became a Canadien last March, and I learned to truly appreciate him much more as he came aboard to complement the Canadiens depth in the post season. Moore will never be an obvious game changer, but he has the talent and work ethic to perfectly fulfill the third line center role.

I could not conceive that the Canadiens, after dealing a second round pick to acquire Moore, would simply let him walk in free agency. Being that he has enough attributes to have fetched a second rounder in trade, would it not be best for Montreal to have held onto his rights for another season?

His experience, valuable as it was, has now been replaced by less experience, in the likes of Lars Eller and Dustin Boyd. That could all work out for the better in due time, but in my eye, having Moore in place was a buffer of sorts should things not go as planned. Moore, come the 2011 trade deadline, might have returned that valuable second round pick.

Tallied up thus far, the Canadiens off season moves consist of Price replacing Halak as a starter, with Auld slipping into the backup role, and Eller and Boyd filling in where Moore and Glen Metropolit were positioned. One progressional move, on defense, has P.K. Subban replacing Marc-Andre Bergeron in the top six, as well as on the vaunted Habs powerplay.

None of this is considered earth shattering in Montreal, of course, where subtlety never registers on the Richter. Each move, has been designated to either come cheaper or make the club younger, on the surface.

But what it is truly all about, is efficiency and economics.

Auld is cheaper than what Price would have cost, had Halak been resigned.

Boyd may well match Moore's number at a third of the cost.

Eller is the best Canadiens prospect at center since Plekanec, and he will cost the team half of Metropolit's salary in estimation, while being ten years younger.

One thing smartly noted by GM Gauthier in recent weeks, was that the last two Cup winners - Pittsburgh and Chicago - benefitted from bargain performances by players on the cheap. In other words, players of smaller salaries were great contributors, attesting in both cases to wickedly good depth, among other things.

Of course, the Canadiens have not had the luxury of maxing out performances from players on entry level contracts the likes of Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane, Sidney Crosby, Evgeny Malkin or Jordan Staal in recent years, but in order to keep pace they still must attempt to find players who can produce at a ratio that defies their salaries.

Should Eller and Boyd, both smart gambles, achieve this, Gauthier will look genial.

It's all about the bang for the buck, an unheralded common thread among recent Cup winners that Gauthier plainly admitted he has tapped onto.

With so much of the Canadiens salary cap committed to players earning large salaries over the coming seasons, the one and only thing that can put them over is to get a maximum return on players with cheaper salaries.

In that light, recent moves are more understandable, and the organizational plan much more feasible and comprehensible.

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Cap management

Ultimatly, everything looks like cap management. Habs will have to eat some of 2010-11 cap space due to bonue issue and they have expensive assets in their D-corp by the names of Hamrlik and Gill (combine 6M for upcoming season) and they have to think about resigning Andrei Markov long term during upcoming season).

by François Simard on Jul 9, 2010 9:04 AM EDT reply actions  

I think at one point in Gomez’s contract the habs will have to move him because these cheap young talents will want more money and gomez’s production will have been reduced with age

by Mikael F on Jul 9, 2010 10:25 AM EDT reply actions  

Hard to forecast how this team will perform in 2010-2011. You’re talking about a team that won a measly 24 games in regulation last season. But injuries hit hard during last year’s regular season: three of their best players (Cammalleri, Gionta, and Markov) missed a whopping total of 75 man-games between them. AK46 also missed a very long stretch of play. So here’s to a 2010-2011 team that is not just cheaper and younger, but also healthier!

by Michael Whitehouse on Jul 9, 2010 10:46 AM EDT reply actions  

This was always going to be the path after the spending spree of 2009.

I think the pessimism rises from the fact that people think that Halak was responsible for all the postseason success and that without him the Habs are doomed.

The 2011 season will be hard to peg because nobody knows if the Canadiens are good or not. They had an injury plagued season and an overachieving playoff. They were better than the regular season would indicate, but nowhere near a top 4 team that the playoffs say they were.

Once Gomez, Cammalleri, Gionta etc were signed, the Habs needed the youth to make a major impact. We are back in 2006 but with a younger more reliable veteran core and superior prospects. Eller, Price, Subban, Pouliot have a greater upside than Higgins, Komisarek, Plekanec and Chipchura IMO.

by Chris Boyle on Jul 9, 2010 11:53 AM EDT reply actions  

They Still Have Needs...

The Habs have speed\skilled players and they have some big\size players. What they really need are guys who combine both attributes. The Habs can hold their own against teams that don’t play physical hockey(Boston, Washington, Pittsburgh) but as we saw in the Philly series a team with size can still shut them down(Gionta and Cammalleri looked like smurfs next to Pronger and crew). It will be interesting to see what changes(if any) Gauthier makes in the remaining time before next season…

by Montcalm's Revenge on Jul 9, 2010 12:06 PM EDT reply actions  

I think Philly’s size is overstated. Any team with Pronger has the ability to shut down any offense. The guy was playing 30+ minutes a game. It became a battle of patience and who could be more opportunistic.

The offensive players the destroyed the Habs were Briere, Giroux, Leino, Richards and Gagne. The tallest of those is Leino at 6’0" and 182 lbs, which is 1 inch taller and 15 lbs lighter than Tomas Plekanec. Their offensive weapons were more dangerous.

Carter missed 3 games, Van Riemsdyk was invisible for the majority of the series and Hartnell had one goal.

If you flipped Pronger for Hamrlik the Habs may have been playing the Hawks in the Stanley Cup Final.

by Chris Boyle on Jul 9, 2010 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

In the playoffs after Markov went down I wished the Habs still had Souray on the blue line. His slapshot would have helped create more scoring chances. Their powerplay certainly went down the toilet in the final two series… ANYTHING would be better than Hamrlik… he’s time has definitely PASSED. :-D

by Montcalm's Revenge on Jul 9, 2010 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah, it is amazing what they accomplished missing their best player for essentially 50% of the regular season and 60% of the playoffs.

Remove Pronger from the Flyers and they are gone in the first round.

by Chris Boyle on Jul 9, 2010 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, was it Robert who noted the habs may simply have ran out of gas in the third round? 14 games in 28 days will do that.

I also think size is overemphasized. You need good players, period. A given player’s assets are simply the tools he uses to acheive an established level of performance. If they give Desharnais a shot and he establishes a better level of performance than, say boyd or Eller, well he should get the minutes.

But seeing the habs send Sergei Kostitsyn in the minors to “break” him while dressing up Laraque for actual games, I sincerely doubt this management group has any special acumen come those things. Doesn’t mean they are idiots, just that they don’t look very good at scraping value at the fringe, which is an integral part of any good team. Anybody can give halak 3.75 millions, or Gomet 7.23, or Pleks 5 millions. It’s getting value for those 0.5-1.5m contracts that’s difficult.

by Olivier on Jul 9, 2010 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Do we know what Desharnais’ advanced numbers in the AHL were like? I know that Eller had outstanding advanced stats, but I always was under the impression (perhaps falsely) that Desharnais and Trotter were used rather astutely to get better matchups. I don’t know where I got that impression from, perhaps it was just seeing their massive numbers and making an assumption. I also know that Carle got tougher opponents when he was healthy than Subban, but I’d think when Carle got hurt Subban took over that role and still flourished.

Carle is another interesting case… he was on track to make the team this fall until his big injury. With Markov hurt to start the year, he projects as the 7th guy out of training camp, behind O’Byrne.

Puck Worlds: Chasing Pucks from here to Turku.

For Twitter Updates on Puck Worlds, follow @puckworlds. For updates plus additional witty banter from yours truly, follow @saskhab.

by Bruce Peter on Jul 12, 2010 11:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Interesting point about productivity at the fringe. Of the 42 goals scored by Habs’ forwards during this spring’s playoff run, 31 (74%) were scored by forwards on the top 2 lines. Of the 11 goals (26%) scores by forwards at the fringe, 7 came from two players (Moore and Lapierre).

by Michael Whitehouse on Jul 9, 2010 2:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Yup. And, really, how “fringy” are Lapierre and Moore, guys who would play up to 15 minutes at even strength as 2 third of our third line?

by Olivier on Jul 9, 2010 3:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

They’re ‘fringy’ in that they both made less than the league average salary.

Puck Worlds: Chasing Pucks from here to Turku.

For Twitter Updates on Puck Worlds, follow @puckworlds. For updates plus additional witty banter from yours truly, follow @saskhab.

by Bruce Peter on Jul 12, 2010 11:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

I like this reflective piece Robert. I agree with you and think that the key word is “gamble”.

G&G have shown they are willing to gamble big time. Whatever folks may say about the flukyness of last season’s playoff run, it cannot be argued that Gainey’s gambles did not pay off in the short-term. They did, in spades.

I like the odds for the medium to long-term as well, and I think that the kind of gutsy moves Gauthier just made are the ones that MIGHT move this team from solid (with Moore or Metro, for example) to contender (if Eller, Boyd or other young guns break out).

I am wondering if there is a move yet to be made – the cap space remaining seems like enough for Price, Lapierre + one another $1-2M player – perhaps?

by patience is a virtue on Jul 9, 2010 3:50 PM EDT reply actions  

Think about it. What is Pierre Gauthier’s plan since Gainey stepped down but is still in the wings as a hockey advisor?
Are we still re-tooling this team back year 1 of a 5 year plan under Gauthier?
2 moments this past summer have made me happy.
The trading of little Sergei and (the firing, oops did I say that?) of Pierre Boivin. Everybody knows how vocal I was to recycle these 2 imbeciles in the bin from last season. Amen.
Sad to see a guy like Halak go. Nothing surprises me how the organization is run in today’s NHL.

by RetroMikey on Jul 9, 2010 7:05 PM EDT reply actions  

Just looking at the comments about the roster and what it may look like in many habs oriented blogs, people really appear sold on the idea Eller is AHL bound but that Patch is ready for a move ahead ?

I am an avid Hab watcher, however, know only bare minimum when it comes to what’s happening in the farm (although found myself looking into Hamilton more this year than any other). But guys like Maxwell, Patch, Desharnais (despite his scoring touch) all appear the same type of player as D’Agostini and Higgins. I know I liked Higgins, when he played for the Habs he got it… he felt the tradition and knew his role on the team. Other plans were made and he was shipped out…. and hasn’t been the same since. There was a lot about him I thought could translate to a A sometime in the future, possibly the C. But… things change. But the calibre of young American talent that Montreal picked over the last few years hasn’t really panned out. I feel as though Maxwell will be an AHLer or a add-on in a deal somewhere. As for Patch. I think the more time he spends in the AHL the more likely he is to stay there. As for making this team?? I have questions about Eller and Enqvuist, and depending on how Avtsin moves in the AHL do we move him up sooner rather than later? The Habs have Tons of talent, however always find themselves in the grey area of ‘Do we leave him in the AHL for seasoning? Or do we take him now?" when it comes to the development of their prospects, and rarely is the transition seamless (and yes its a bit much to expect no bumps in the road) but too say Subban is the first player who contributed regularly since coming up in…. a very long time… is saying that the talent and the knowledge and respect these prospects give for due process isn’t there. Please refer to SK74, Emelin.

If the Habs could keep Moore, it would possibly be their best off season move, though I feel that they won’t. There’s still cap space for someone, but until Price gets signed, and Laps…. we likely won’t see any additional players coming.
I understand the move to a younger talented, cheaper team, but that should bring up the idea of dealing Hamrlik. If the D with the Bulldogs are so near ready for the big show, why not bring up Weber or Carle…. and whoever said Carle is behind O’Byrne… I’d like to see both in camp and see who ends up where. O’Byrne made miraculous changes under Boucher, and was bruoght back. He played with new zest and it was nice, but there isn’t a BOucher amongst the coaches in Montreal, so I donno if his change can be long term.

In addition to that… who’s coaching in Hamilton this year?? Muller? And if Perry Pearn disappears…. what are the Habs doing on the Coaching front??

by Cruisin4aBruisin on Jul 12, 2010 6:59 PM EDT reply actions  

We’ll Lapierre was signed today to a 1 yr 900k deal..which now only means Jesus Price is the only unsigned RFA/UFA that we are keeping.

Moore amongst others were already told they won’t be given any offers,(so it is said) which i believe is true, they want to keep cap room with the expectations that eller, subban and maybe others will be brought up to replace those 4 unsigned players, (Moore,Metropolit,Bergeron and Mara).

I also agree weber and carle need to be brought up, they are AHL seasoned and need a good year to be nhl caliber and they won’t if they stay down in hamilton, Patch should stay up for another season to see what he can do and Desharnias needs 1 more Ahl season for seasoning in my opinion.

by Mr.Karma on Jul 13, 2010 9:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

Basically, if anybody is too good for the AHL, they should be given a shot while we figure out who is best for our NHL team. If there are a bunch of guys (I’m not sure there are that many) than we can pick and choose the right fit for the team.

Last fall, Carle was ahead of Subban but behind O’Byrne. I assume he’s now behind both, but that should still afford him the opportunity to see what he can do out of training camp. I guess what I’m saying is there might not be a need to bring in a stop gap like Bergeron this past year or Brisebois before as depth guys. Carle might as well get a look. Weber is a bit further behind, I think he needs a big year in Hamilton right now. If we can’t find a shooter on the PP, he’s an ace in the hole, so to speak.

Eller actually appears to be ahead of Pacioretty, not the other way around. Both are possibilities… I guess it depends on whether we are planning on playing Eller only as a centre or not. I could see Eller on a line with Lapierre where they split faceoff duties (one is left handed, the other right). Eller seems like a guy that could be spotted in the top 6 if/when Pouliot or Kostitsyn struggles.

My guesses out of camp as to options for guys that were in the AHL for most of last year: Eller gets first shot, then Trotter (waiver issues), Pacioretty, Desharnais and Maxwell. Maxwell seemed rather raw last year, but the staff likes his skill set. He could be this year’s Pacioretty… kept up despite a lack of prodcution (but no real negative results) before getting sent down. Trotter and Desharnais are at the age that they have to make a push for a NHL job, and their AHL numbers last year suggest we might as well have a look at them this year. Eller and Pacioretty are guys that could fit nicely in a 3rd line spot, but Pacioretty’s injuries last year could see him be a mid-season callup rather than an out of the gate starter.

On D: Subban is on the team, Carle is on the bubble, and Weber is in the AHL. I don’t know anything about Nash or Klubernatz or whoever else is under contract.

Puck Worlds: Chasing Pucks from here to Turku.

For Twitter Updates on Puck Worlds, follow @puckworlds. For updates plus additional witty banter from yours truly, follow @saskhab.

by Bruce Peter on Jul 13, 2010 11:21 AM EDT up reply actions  

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