Gainey Should Target Bruins' Kessel And Krejci With Offer Sheets
With the 2008-08 Canadiens now officially put to rest, the focus is now what will happen in 67 days time on July 1, in the free agent open season. In the interim, Habs GM Bob Gainey's desk will have the portfolios of the Habs 11 UFA's and 6 RFA's spread across it, some coaching applications, and documents pertaining to any other free agent players of interest. It will be a busy summer for Gainey and the speculation has already begun in great detail as to what his moves will be regarding his own players. July's unrestricted free agent crop has many alluring names, with at least a dozen that would upgrade the Canadiens greatly. Should Gainey truly want to hit a homerun, he would be wise to consider going the RFA route, which offer sheets to younger talent with more long term upside. To that end, I'm thinking why not throw a couple of strong long term offers at the Bruins Phil Kessel and David Krejci. The Canadiens want to make ground on the Bruins, and the offer sheets present a win / win scenario for Montreal in which they either gain the players or succeed in pushing the Bruins into cap hell. Boston are already committed to 17 players for close to 47 million on next season's cap. Their UFA's include goalie Manny Fernandez, Shane Hnidey, Steve Montador, Mark Recchi, Stephane Yelle and P.J. Axelsson, of which only the latter two will be of retaining interest.
Supposing the cap comes in at approximately 55 million - a fair estimation given the economy - the Bruins would be in a fix when it comes to retaining both Kessel and Krejci. Matt Hunwick is also an RFA the Bruins have interest in keeping.
Can the Bruins satisfy Kessel, Krejci, Hunwick, Axelsson, and Yelle with 8 million dollars to spread between them? It's doubtful. Even breaking the equation down to simply Kessel and Krejci, the Bruins could have trouble pleasing both.
This is where the Canadiens can enter the picture, as other teams will also pursue this duo agressively given the Bruins cap wall. Kessell, a 20 year old 36 goal scorer has 50 goal potential written all over him. In Gainey's words in regards to Carey Price, Kessel is also a thoroughbred, a possible franchise player that in this market is quickly worth a 7 million dollar renumeration. Krejci, is worth 5 million himself.
Can Boston match?
Montreal has just over 30 million to spend next season. Does it not make more sense to place that money on young talent rather than the ageing vets unrestricted free agency normally offers?
If Gainey wishes to turn the Canadiens around rather briskly, going after the Boston kids or Vancouver's Sedin twins is the quickest way.
Then there is Lecavalier, but the sentiment is he has already shot himself purposely in the foot on that one.
Other attractive RFA's include Kings defenseman Jack Johnson, the Rangers moody Nikolai Zherdev, and New Jersey center Travis Zajac.
The full list of remaining quality RFA's are Tuomo Ruutu, Dave Bolland, Cam Barker, Gilbert Brule, Blake Comeau, Brandon Dubinski, Ryan Clowe, Marcel Goc, Torrey Mitchell, Matt Lashoff, Mikhail Grabovski, and Steve Bernier.
Here is a team by team list of the better name UFA's available. Players potentially of interest to the Canadiens are in bold type.
Anaheim - Rob Neidermayer, Scott Neidermayer, Francois Beauchemin, Bret Hedican
Boston - P.J. Axelsson, Stephane Yelle, Mark Recchi
Buffalo - Maxim Afinogenov, Jaroslav Spacek, Teppo Numminen
Carolina - Chad Larose, Erik Cole
Calgary - Mike Cammalleri, Todd Bertuzzi, Adrian Aucoin, Rhett Warriner, Jordan Leopold
Chicago - Martin Havlat, Sami Pahlsson
Columbus - Raffi Torres, Mike Peca, Manny Malhotra, Christian Backman
Colorado - Joe Sakic, Ian Laperriere
Dallas - Jere Lehtinen, Brendan Morrison, Mark Parrish, Sergei Zubov
Detroit - Marian Hossa, Michael Samuelsson, Tomas Kopecky
Edmonton - Ales Kotalik, Dwayne Roloson
Florida - Jay Bowmeester, Richard Zednick, Radek Dvorak, Ville Peltonen, Nick Boynton, Karlis Scrastins, Craig Anderson
Los Angeles - Kyle Calder, Derek Armstrong
Minnesota - Marian Gaborik, Stephane Veilleux, Martin Skoula, Marc Andre Bergeron, Kurtis Foster
Nashville - Steve Sullivan, Radek Bonk, Greg DeVries, Ville Koistinen
New Jersey - Brian Gionta, John Madden, Bobby Holik, Michael Rupp, Brendan Shanahan, Niclas Havelid, Johnny Oduya
New York Rangers - Nik Antropov, Paul Mara, Derek Morris
Ottawa - Mike Comrie, Chris Neil
Philadelphia - Mike Knuble, Derian Hatcher, Martin Biron
Phoenix - Steven Reinprecht, Ken Klee
Pittsburgh - Miro Satan, Petr Sykora, Ruslan Fedotenko, Bill Guerin, Hal Gill, Philippe Boucher, Mathieu Garon
San Jose - Mike Grier, Jeremy Roenick, Rob Blake, Travis Moen
St. Louis - Keith Tkachuk, Dan Hinote
Tampa Bay - Marek Malik
Toronto - Brad May
Vancouver - Mats Sundin, Daniel Sedin, Henrick Sedin, Taylor Pyatt, Mathias Ohlund
Washington - Sergei Fedorov, Victor Kozlov, Donald Brashear,
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13 comments
Comments
Comments on your UFA list
What’s your strategy for re-designing the team? I identified two options in my fan post yesterday, which were buy a #1 line, or build better D. I think we need a #1 center, we need a #1 & #2 RW, and we should add some tough, mobile defensemen. As a group, ours were outmatched by Boston’s forwards.
Beauchemin is a great alternative to a super-star, two-way defenseman. He’s proven that he can carry the powerplay when the regular quaterbacks were injured, and he is defensively responsible. That gives us a top 4 D-man.
The best affordable defenseman is Boumeester. Imagine the Habs putting out Markov and Boumeester, followed by Gorges and Beauchemin. Suddenly our team is MUCH better. That would fix out defense.
I think Afinogenov might be worth a gamble IF his price comes down to ~1Million. There are always a few players that have a resurgence after getting away from a bad situation. As GM, I’d interview him first though, and make sure his head is on straight.
I think you picked the wrong guy from Carolina. I’d take Chad LaRose over Erik Cole. More for your money, and Cole only seems to perform under certain circumstances, and only for the Canes. In either case, Montreal doesn’t need left wingers anyway assuming we sign Tanguay. I think Montreal has a fine LW core with Tanguay, Higgins, A. Kostitsyn, S. Kostitsyn, and Stewart. A. Kos. will only get better this year, giving us two skilled LWs, and a real energy guy in Higgins, who in my opinion showed more jump than any other Hab vs Boston. Enough on LW.
Havlat is overpriced.
Hossa is so expensive, that if we bought him we’d have little money for anyone else. On a team that could be improved in so many areas, I don’t think we want to put the eggs all in one basket. Plus he’s been on so many teams he’s like a rental.
Gionta on the other hand would fit into our RW plans. He’s small, but speedy and plays hard. With the money we save on him we could buy Chris Neil who would be a good role model for Latendresse. Guillaume plays more like a Guimauve some times. Altough he has improved, he needs to develop that edge that Neil has, the ability and willingness to fight and win, he needs to crash the net and play like a true power forward. He should be a reliable fill-in for the top line, and besides seeing him through a few hard hits, he’s pretty ineffective. Gosh, he only had 5 shots in 4 games. He should be taking five shots a game.
Speaking of fighting, Komisarek looked foolish the other night. Nothing like starting a fight and getting your ass whupped. Embarrasing how quickly he went down.
I don’t like your choice of Antropov. He’s a flake. How many oversized, overpaid, and ineffectual guys do you want on this team? He’s not a true #1 line player, and we already have a raft-full of #2through #4 forwards. He’s like Latendress only stretched out four more inches.
Viktor Kozlov might do the trick for us. He’s a proven competitor.
Regards,
GM Tony Lobster
There is never enough time to do things right, but always enough time to do things over.
Carpe Diem
by TonyLobster on Apr 25, 2009 11:06 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I don’t necessarily have any strategy for redesigning the team, other than keeping most of it’s better working parts and upgrading where the team was most exposed late in the year.
Many assessment of the club are overly harsh and unreasonable, given that they were so badly decimated by injuries this season. It’s not an excuse, but a simple, easily verifiable fact. It would be a grave mistake for anyone to not take such things into consideration.
The most pressing needs of the team remain the same – better secondary scoring depth and a more solid defense. To that end, there are many possible solutions.
In what you’ve gone over in this comment, I’ll add a few thoughts to.
I like Beauchemin as a lower cost upgrade in the 4th D slot next to Hamrlik. He also compensates with size if Montreal are to lose Komisarek.
Bowmeester is the ideal addition, as he fills several needs being a well rounded D man.
Zubov is another, experienced and well rounded blueliner. He’d get 65 points alongside Markov on the PP, and it would again become tops in the league. His health though, figures in as a question mark.
I question Afinogenov’s desire the same way you question Antropov. I like that Antropov is a big center, inconsistent as he is. Maybe Montreal can do a better job of coaching him and motivating him. As a Canadien, he may also play lower in the depth chart, with could maximize his potential. Also, I never pegged him as a top line interest, but his size is an upgrade on Plekanec and a decent fill in should Lang not return.
I like Larose as well, but I found over the years that Cole is incredible pumped when playing in Montreal. He was raised not far from where I live, just on the US side, and I suspect he’s a big Habs fan down deep who would fight till the death for them. Call it an informed hunch!
Hossa and Havlat are of interest only the Canadiens fail to keep the line of Koivu, Kovalev and Tanguay intact, which I suspect they will attempt to do.
The guy I don’t see returning is Plekanec, whose confidence looks completely rattled. I also have doubts where I didn’t before involving the Kostitsyn brother’s future with the team.
I have a gnawing feeling Komisarek is gone, and that the Habs biggest need will be to replace him while upgrading on Bouillon, Brisebois, and O’Byrne. In the present scenario, the top 4 D are Markov, Hamrlik, Gorges, and Dandenault ( if and if). O’Byrne might be toast. Weber, may or may not be ready.
I gather you don’t like Latendresse. I do. He’s progressed on schedule for three seasons now, and I think he is about to become an important element on the team, in tandem with Lapierre. Should that duo add a better wingman than Kostopoulos, they will really take off. Guillaume had a disapointing round as he played injured. It doesn’t alter where he is headed as an NHLer.
by Robert L on Apr 25, 2009 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Hmmm...
D- We have 3 guys signed and able bodied: Gorges, Markov and Hamrlik. 3 lefties, one of which looks better on the right side IMHO. People agreed a couple of years ago that, over 4.5/year, Souray was better let go. Ditto for Komisarek this year? I think he should be paid in Brad Stuart’s range (3.5 to 4), no more. How much will Beauchemin command? 2.5? 4? Any chances Ohlund makes it to free agency? The point is: he can be replaced. I hope they throw Weber to the wolves next year and give him a top 6 role; I still am not sold on O’Byrne. I wish they brought Cube back and have him anchor the 3rd pairing with Gorges. Give Weber to Hamrlik, and find somebody to complement Markov. Bouwmeester is a fantasy, but we have barges of cash, so why not? If not, Beauchemin would be nice too, but again, everybody will be knocking on his door offering their sister’s hot friend, so… I’d let go of Komisarek if he asks for more than 4mil. I’d gladly trade some toughness for some passing abilities (altough I already do that pushing Weber in the top 6). Subban and the rest? Give them what was given to Weber, Carle and the others: a year in Hamilton. If Bob desn’t find something worth blowing cash on, I guess we’ll see Carle slide beside Bouillon and Gorges go beside Markov. Sheesh… Unless, that is, Bob goes lateral.
C-If we have to replace Koivu, carzy as it sound, I wouldn’t mind a Guillaume stretched over 4 more inches at C. Face it guys: Jeff Carter-type are available trough the draft, period (Hullo AKost). I would LOVE to see the habs pull a Horton/Damphousse with Pacioretty: he’s got speed, he sees the ice well, he can control the puck, he’s 19: move him at C, now!!! I think Pleks stays put; he’s not a 75 point player, but a 45-55 points/20 goals two way center with above average faceoff abilities (and a tremendous work ethic and drive). Why should we let him go? He’ll be fine. Add Lapierre at 6-2/215 who can eat 14+ min of ES time and Metropolit who is signed trough next year… Anthropov/Pleks/Max/Metro isn’t glorious, but unless Bob pries a Stall from somewhere or Maxwell explodes, well, that may be what we are looking at. If Saku stays, dump Metro and we just shored up the C big time. My point is: everybody needs an excellent player. The question is, what kind of good player do we need? Anthropov/Lang/Big guy who can log minutes and score 50+ points would be great; but Robert may be right: let’s not forget that Kessel, at 60 points, ended up at the 24th rank amongst centers this year. A 21 year-old right shot C who (forget the goals) can shoot 200+ times a year? Let Komisarek walk and throw 4 millions that way instead. If we ar lucky, we get him AND Boston retaliates by signing Komisarek :). But again, don’t be naive people: they’ll ship Savard out before they let us throw our dirty centennial money toward young Phil… So we may be in for the Nik Anthropov era (sigh).
RW- The K brothers are both right wingers. Andrei can actually be somewhat effective on the LW, but he is far more dangerous on the RW. Sergei is flat out lost on the LW. So if we bring back Kovy (I hope they do; dude is mental, but I don’t care: there isn’t enough beauty in this world and that is why I wan l’Artiste back, dammit!), to me the RW pecking order should be: Kovy, AKost, D’Ags, SKost/Laraque. If the younger K brother gets his head screwed the right way, he’ll leapfrog D’Agostini, who just doesn’t have the same level of skill; if not, well too bad for him. I guess we could dump Laraque and get a grinder somewhere in there (to take Kostopoulos spot? Dandenault?), but I’d like to see D’Agostini get a real shot.
LW- We can get Tanguay back I think, that gives the following pecking order: Tanguay-Lantendresse-Higgins-Pacioretty/Stewart. This is where I’d try something, but the pickings are slims… I guess Cole would be nice, but I think Higgins gives us more at this point. My point is: I want someone who can push Pax back in Hamilton where he can learn the ropes and become a center :).
The Lateral — I would love to see Bob take advantage of the fact that he has a shitload of money. Who doesn’t have money right now? The KHL. How much is Yemelin poised to make next year (after the rumored 20%+ paycut)? Perezhogin? We have to understand that, under a 50-55mil cap, 6+ mil is big money, 4+ is somewhat big, but 3 and less for 2-3 years isn’t that big of a deal if you ain’t against the cap. Is 2mil/year for 2 years too high a price for Perezhogin? If he scores 19 points again, yes. At 40 points, he’s a top40 at RW or LW, and overpriced again. At 50 points? Top 30 he has the talent, we know that, and he’s got some defensive chops. That being said, dude is a RW according to Wikipedia; gee, another left shot RW under-performing on the LW for the Habs… Anybody sees a pattern?
What goes for Perezhogin goes for Yemelin too, of course (and Valentenko, I guess). The idea is, we hava a lot of room, so we can overpay. Overpaying for middle-tier, captive talent may be less destructive (I insist: les destructive) than overpaying for middle-tier, free-agent talent.
G- I won’t even bother. Bob’s logic escapes mine in that department.
by Olivier on Apr 25, 2009 3:36 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
That is perfect logic
It is a no lose situation, it is why the Bruins made a huge mistake signing Thomas to that deal. Add in Ryder’s $4M per and the Bruins are in salary cap hell. Krejci and Kessel are essentially UFA’s right now if you offer them $6-7M per season.
http://fantasysensehockey.blogspot.com/2009/04/5m-for-thomas.html
The Bruins are in trouble if they give them market value, if they have to pay them double with Lucic and Savard up next season with a likely declining cap, this could quickly become a 2009 window for the team they have in front of them right now.
by Wamsley on Apr 25, 2009 6:57 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Wow! Good link Wamsley, and a good read for everyone regarding what I was getting at. I’d say the two are ripe for the picking, and let the Bruins try and match. I knew the Thomas contact compromised them, but not as much as this piece points out.
I’m excited now!
by Robert L on Apr 25, 2009 7:07 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Thanks, it is from my site. Your success is definitely inspiration for what can be accomplished with hardwork :)
The Bruins have MAJOR issues moving forward, and I hope Gainey takes the advantage to really give it to the Bs. Kessel is a dynamic player and a much better $6-7M investment than Vincent Lecavalier. It would force the Bruins to A. scramble to unload 3-4 guys and watch Krejci walk, or B. Let him go.
I don’t see Gainey doing it though because of the cost of the draft picks.
by Wamsley on Apr 25, 2009 8:11 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
We can only target one of them, though. Kessel at $7m would cost us 4 first round picks (what Vanek would have cost Edmonton)… I think Krejci at $5m would cost us a 1st, 2nd, and a 3rd (Penner type compensation)… look for Boston to try and get at least one of them under contract before July 1 to avoid this somewhat, though.
I think Ryane Clowe and Torrey Mitchell (provided you are comfortable with him post-injury) could be targeted by this as well. San Jose has some issues coming up. Bolland and Barker from Chicago are potential targets as well.
But I’ve tossed around the Krejci idea for a while. Seems to fit all the necessary criteria: a young, high end two way C, plays for a direct rival who could be facing a budget crunch. Kessel, as a guy who has played more as a winger, doesn’t fit the criteria quite as well, but his high end scoring ability makes it an interesting scenario.
Hockey blogging can't get any flatter.
by saskhab on Apr 26, 2009 11:51 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
my thoughts are that Gainey wanted to bury any ideas of Lecavalier by the recent finger pointing with the Lightning.
I think it’s a good move. Suppress any of that before the offseason signings get started.
Kessel would be a much better signing for the money and as a long term investment.
I think Cole would be a great sign. He played for the same college team that Rejean Houle’s son played for and now is an assistant coach for (Clarkson), which is only 15 miles south of the Canadian border and less than an hour from Montreal. Cole grew up near that area in “upstate New York” and many of the kids around there are Canadiens fans.
I don’t think Higgins will ever be as good as Cole. If Cole is healthy, he can bring more to the Habs than either Higgins or Tanguay. Size, speed, everything. He’s better.
I know we’re talking UFA signings, but with respect the draft, Bob and Trevor should have a very strong focus on the NCAA players, particularly the WCHA. That conference in particular is loaded with talent, and many of those teams play on international ice surfaces. Why is Kessel so fast? He played for Minnesota, along with Vanek, (and you’ll see a lot more coming), which has a large ice surface. Watch any of those games and you will be really impressed with the skill level. I would not be worried at all of Bob started collecting high draft picks as well. Look how rapidly Kessel and Vanek developed and at what cost in compared to an expensive free agent?
by nyhabsfan on Apr 26, 2009 1:32 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Robert – I could go on for pages about this topic but I’ll just make one point. We need to re-tool the team on a short term basis. We have no chance of winning a Cup until Price is ready to excel in goal. That may take a few years and I think we all have to come to grips with that reality. With that in mind, I think we should only focus on obtaining players that will be able to help us win a Cup a few years from now. We also have to acknowledge that there could be a financial crisis in the near future and we don’t want to make moves now that will put us in jeopardy in a few years. Personally, I’d rather break the bank on a centre rather than Kessel. Krejci is good but I want more seeing we will only get to do this once.
by 24 Cups on Apr 26, 2009 6:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
I’m with you 24 Cups. Also, I nice reminder from a very astute Oilers blogger regarding the effectiveness of free agents signing:
http://www.mc79hockey.com/?p=3136#more-3136
To me, here is the money shot: “If there’s an argument to be made that Horcoff’s contract is a bad contract, it has to be based on the argument that you can’t win in a league with a salary cap if you’re paying market value for non-star UFA players.”
by Olivier on Apr 26, 2009 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
It is a shame we have to “wait for Carey”, but I suppose that is our situation. Of course, what will be the first thing he does after he has some success here and becomes a free agent? Sign with another team.
I think “24” and Olivier bring up good points though and we should plan for the future and be careful financially in the meantime. There’s a ton of talent out there in college hockey now, and we could rebuild into a perennial contender with the right choices, and in the meantime, keep a low profile salary-wise. It’s tough to let guys like Kovalev and Tanguay go, but compare them to guys like Kessel and Vanek. Who’s more producive? And in the future? And, which ones are more cost effective? Rather obvious.
by nyhabsfan on Apr 26, 2009 11:29 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
…I’d be comfortable with the team agressively “rebuilding via the draft”. There is enough talent out there to do that, and save money in the process.
by nyhabsfan on Apr 26, 2009 11:33 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Technicolour Dreams
where would I start
1. Bouwmeester will not sign in Montreal…he’s going home to Alberta
2. Cole better than Higgins really…Higgins is a premier 3rd line winger who can score, be an elite PK guy, and can work up on first 2 lines in a pinch…Cole is just more injuries waiting to happen and how was he in Edmo ?
3. Kessel & Krejci nice players but if you cause that move the offer sheets on your RFAs will pour in…and in a cap world you will live and die in the draft…giving up first rounders, which you must have in hand btw and hoping that these players will be the same in Montreal is just dumb…I refer to Gomez & Drury signing for NYR—-lots of wasted money
4. we need D who grow hair on their palms….ie Komisarek, buy out or trade Hamrlik and use the money on Mike. entice Emelin to come over with Valentenko…the assets are in house…if you can entice Beauchemin great but why would he come to this media schmozzle as a francophone
-weather is too nice to comment further…interesting read although
by pfhabs on Apr 27, 2009 8:26 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs

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