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First Round Predictions For NHL Playoffs 2009

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Making predictions are for fools and gypsies, they say. They are also for folks who like to start a good argument or get involved in a lively debate.

Say what you will about them, people are always lured to prognostications like nails to a magnet. We can't resist making them, and we can't avoid an opinion on them.

So with that load of crap, here are my flicked boogers as to how Round One of the playoffs will go. I predict I'll either be very right, or look like an idiot!

Series A

Bruins and Canadiens

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Historically, the Habs make the Bruins shit their pants for some reason. Maybe it just gets too mental for Boston, and they psych themselves out. The Bruins should win on paper, obviously, but I say that a positionally solid Carey Price outplays a panicky Tim Thomas.

Canadiens in 7

Series B

Capitals and Rangers 

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The Blueshirts are adysfunctional mess unable to forge much identity or instill much fear. Their blueline is all craters. Avery tries taunting Ovechkin and is humiliated. The Capitals are all speed and flash and won't be slowed down by the Rangers defense. Linqvist should steal one game where Theodore is off.

Capitals in 5

Series C

Devils and Hurricanes

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A very tough call. Jersey looked like a contender to go all the way ten games ago, but have fallen flat of late. Momentum could be everything, and Carolina has it in spades. Not sure if Paul Maurice can outcoach Brent Sutter, but the way it's going, Cam Ward looks ready to outdual Brodeur. A total hunch tells me that Eric Staal, who's been down this road, is poised for a spectacular playoff.

Hurricanes in 7 in OT

Series D

Flyers and Penguins

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A battle of Pennsylvania should provide all kinds of headlines and highlights. Another tough call. As Philly has that same knack for shooting themselves in the foot as Boston does, I'll be consistent and pick the flightless birds. Fleury over Biron is a no brainer for starters, and Crosby and Malkin have the tailwaind at present.

Penguins in 6

Series E

Sharks and Ducks

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Out on a limb for a big upset, this might be the one. Perennial playoff stiff Joe Thornton, has not yet convinced me that he is able to bring the Sharks to another level. The regular season is his playground, but the playoffs have always been his prison for years. The Sharks have been built to last, but they are a tenuous team at times. Playing against state rivals could be the tonic they need to finally get launched on the right path or they could be stepped into a minefield with an accustomed foe.

Sharks in 7

Series F

Red Wings and Blue Jackets

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The Cup champions are winning more often with offense than in previous season, as their goaltending has bitten it big time. There should be enough depth in Detroit to last two rounds, before the need for goaltending supremacy take precedence. detroit are best advised to go on the all out attack in this series, as Steve Mason is likely to win in a defensive battle with Chris Osgoode or Ty Conklin.

Red Wings in 6

Series G

Canucks and Blues

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A goaltenders series for certain, this will be all about Roberto Luongo versus Chris Mason. Better depth on the Canucks side helps, but they have a tendency to become impatient at times in closer games. Alain Vignault will not outcoach Andy Murray, but Vancouver has the benefit of a more talented lineup that can play grittier than most give credit for. The Blues for their part, have been one of the best teams in the NHL since the All Star break, and they play a focused style that can frustrate a team like the Canucks. A potential upset and a nailbitter all the way.

Blues in 7

Series H

Blackhawks and Flames

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Since the trade deadline, Calgary has sputtered along, dropping to fifth place. They do not look to be a harmonious bunch as there is much pressure on them to win. On the other hand, Chicago, returning to the playoffs after an eons absence, cannot disappoint. I get the notion that their inexperience works in their favor, as the club is too young to feel the heat of expectations. Last time Khabibulin met Kiprusoff, he came up on the winning side.

Blackhawks in 6

I have to say, I'm terribly impressed by the St. Louis Blues, coming from so far back to move all the way up to the sixth seed in the Western Conference. No one envies the Canucks right now, having to deal with such a hot team. I think the last time the Blues scared anyone, Ozzie Osbourne was getting arrested wearing their jersey.

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For good old shits and giggles, feel free to drop your own predictions in the comments section. Just a team name and number of games will do. I'll count score when the round is over. Five points for calling the winner correctly, and another five for getting the series length right. If this goes well and enough folks pitch in, we can go all four rounds and crown a smartest reader thing for bragging rights. Submissions good up until game time in game one of each round. 

Here is an ESPN wrap up of the seasons series between each opponant. The Canadiens schedule is pictured below.

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Lost momentum?

Carolina lost their last two games, most recently to the Devils – a game where the struggled to maintain possession and lost quite a bit of it in the neutral zone. The Canes did play very well recently, but as with all teams after a long winning streak – the comedown has to come sometime and it could be Carolina’ time now.

(Of course I would disagree, but still.)

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!

by John Fischer on Apr 12, 2009 8:33 PM EDT reply actions  

There’s a fine distinction though, and we may only be able to tell after the round is over, but Carolina’s last two losses might just be the result of them playing out the string. The Devils skid took root earlier, and is more concerning for me because they played a stretch of games where there seemed to be little at stake for them. This is one could truly go either way, and either team could then go far. Both are capable of beating out the two top seeds. Should be anything but dull!

by Robert L on Apr 12, 2009 8:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can’t see the Blues beating the Canucks

by Wamsley on Apr 12, 2009 9:52 PM EDT reply actions  

I think it will be close. I’ve never been sold on Luongo. He’s never done much in my opinion.

by Robert L on Apr 12, 2009 11:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

Never done much when? He was pretty good in 2007 winning a round and standing
on his head against the eventual champion Ducks. He had a 1.77 GAA and .941 SV%.

I am not going to hold not making the playoffs against him playing for a woeful Panthers team.

He will be much better than C. Mason. If the Canucks lose, it likely won’t be on Luongo.

I won’t make a prediction on the Habs, but the rest.

Caps in 6
Hurricanes in 7
Penguins in 6
Sharks in 5
Wings in 6
Canucks in 5
Flames in 7

by Wamsley on Apr 13, 2009 10:26 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great goalies make woeful teams better. I’m not sure he ever has. Florida is just as staid with Vokoun. Same difference, you could say. I’ll give his that he has all the tools and that he has put in some of the best goaltending displays in the last decade, but the end results disappoint.

I took the Blues on a hunch, and because they’re shit hot right now.

by Robert L on Apr 13, 2009 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t know if I buy that great goalies make woeful teams better.

I believe a great team can make a goaltender look great. I believe that a great goaltender can take an average/good team and make them great, but I don’t think a goaltender can take a woeful team and make them a playoff team.

I think it is unfair to penalize Luongo for not carrying a team to the playoffs. The Panthers never had any depth past the first line and even that was suspect for years. THey have consistently relied on players who were not ready and the first time he played on a solid team he put up MVP numbers. Without him this year the Canucks fizzled and upon his return to form were one of the best teams in the league over the final quarter.

Do you think you would be picking the Habs in 7 if you replaced Thomas with Luongo?

by Wamsley on Apr 13, 2009 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

this is easily the greatest matchup annalysis i have ever seen in my entire life!!!!
based on these photos… not only does Montreal sweep boston (no games are even close)… but they also go on to win the cup because of how “hot” they are playing, and because of their excellent “positional” play…

by oTTo the CzAR on Apr 12, 2009 11:05 PM EDT reply actions  

The official at the top of the thread might just play nasty with those plans.

by Robert L on Apr 12, 2009 11:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bruins in 6
Caps in 5
Hurricanes in 6
Penguins in 7
Sharks in 6
Blue Jackets in 7
Canucks in 6
Blackhawks in 5

Book it? Hardly. I’m usually about 6-2 in the first round and then screw up badly in the second round, though.

Hockey blogging can't get any flatter.

by saskhab on Apr 13, 2009 12:53 AM EDT reply actions  

Interesting choices! I usually nail the longshots then wonder why I didn’t put money on it!

by Robert L on Apr 13, 2009 5:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

My picks

Capitals in 6 over the Rangers
Carolina in 6 over Devils
Pittsburgh in 6 over Flyers
Ducks in 7 over Sharks
Red Wings in 6 over Blue Jackets
Blackhawks in 6 over Flames
Blues in 6 over Canucks
and. . .
Bruins in 5 over the Habs, and may I somehow get the number right and the team wrong

by dougfromhio on Apr 13, 2009 2:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Roll the dice

Washington vs New York: Caps in 5 (Rangers won’t slow down the powerplay in spite of their top-ranked kill)

New Jersey vs. Carolina: ‘Canes in 7 (Carolina regains it’s momentum and overwhelms a plodding Devils team.)

Pittsburg vs. Philadelphia: Pens in 6 (Which team do I dislike more? Hard to choose…it’ll be nice to see Phily lose though!)

Anaheim vs. San Jose: Ducks in 6 (Boyle has made a difference but Boyle didn’t upgrade their toughness, Anaheim is built on toughness.)

Detroit vs Colombus: Wings in 6 (The difference in experience and defensive play from the Wing forwards gets them through.)

Vancouver vs. St. Louis: Blues in 6 (The specialteams battle will be won by the Blues and that’ll get them on to the second round.)

Chicago vs. Calgary: Hawks in 5 (Calgary wins one out west, but looks bad in the other 4…it’s a shame, I thought the Flames did great at the deadline, but chemistry is a funny thing!)

Boston vs. Montreal: I can’t decide between two options, B’s in 5 OR Habs in 6. I think the pressure may get to the B’s if the Habs make them work for every inch, score on the power play and get good goal keeping…but if they don’t this could be ugly!

by blockersave93 on Apr 13, 2009 4:19 PM EDT reply actions  

Sweep or Be Swept

I don’t believe history has anything to do with the series between Boston and Montreal. The Habs need Price to steal some games. If he does, who knows. The Habs may sweep the series. If not, they will be swept. I am not making a predictions. Simply looking at the possibilities.
BTW, most pundits on TSN and Sportsnet predicted Boston to take the series. Looking at the records in the regular season, it was actually closer than what was considered Boston domination of 5-0-1. The Habs won the first game in OT and lost the last game in OT. They lost one with a wide margin of 6-1 but lost the other two games by the same 3-1 score. A break here or there might have changed the result somewhat.
Guess we shall find out on Thursday.

by EDML on Apr 14, 2009 2:19 AM EDT reply actions  

I agree, the pundits are hyping this as a blowout, but this was closer than the season series appeared. Looking at the timing of the games:

In October Montreal won in a shootout…hard to see how that game relates to the teams now.
In November the habs lost badly 6-1 at Boston. (They had gone 0-10-2 against the Canadiens in the previous 12 meetings. "I think they just wanted it more," Canadiens goalie Carey Price said. "They had more of a fight and they put in the effort, and we didn’t.") It happens! But the Habs came back just over a week later and the Bruins won on GREAT goaltending and a fluke shootout goal. The game was played without Komisarik.
In January, the first game chapped my ass, as my fan post from later in the season attests. Again Thomas stole the show, and got help from a terrible boarding call by the official that led to the game winning goal. The 3rd goal was scored with just about a minute to go. To me, this is the game that reflects how close the teams were. They were 1st and 4th in conference and it was a close game seperated by a fluke powerplay.
In February the wheels had started to come off, but the Bruins only won by getting an empty net goal and Thomas again standing on his head. the habs lost 5 of 6 going into that match. And they lost 13 of 19, and most of the games were not close!
Then we have the game Thursday…close again, we’ll see how it translates…

by blockersave93 on Apr 14, 2009 9:43 AM EDT up reply actions  

My Predictions

Red Wings in 4 over Blue Jackets
Blackhawks in 6 over Flames
Sharks in 6 over Ducks
Canucks in 6 over Blues
Capitals in 6 over the Rangers
Devils in 6 over Carolina
Pittsburgh in 7 over Flyers
Bruins in 6 over Canadiens

by Forsbergnut21 on Apr 14, 2009 3:23 PM EDT reply actions  

What? Not a single upset?

by Robert L on Apr 14, 2009 10:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

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