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Habs Road Woes Continue In Chicago

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I forget the name of that Steve Martin movie in which the grandmother makes a brilliant life analogy with a distinction between ferris wheels and rollercoasters, but it came to mind watching the Canadiens as they fell behind 2-0 in the second period against Chicago.

Ferris wheels simply go round and round. The Canadiens spin their wheels.

Rollercoasters aren't as predictable, but all the thrills are associated with not knowing what's around the corner. These Habs seem afraid of the dark.

Montreal's four game win streak of a week ago was enjoyable while it lasted and it showed some positive flashes at times, mostly against weak opponents, the Rangers notwithstanding. However, there is little to rejoice over in retrospect, as narrowly beating the Islanders and Thrashers is never a boast to beat one's chest over.

The other two of the four wins are in no impressive context either.

The 5-1 win over Long Island showed that the Habs can put the boot to a tired and weakened foe playing twice in 48 hours, the 5-4 win over the Rangers served notice that the Canadiens aren't a team to fall asleep against at home.

On the road, where good teams win hockey games, it is a whole other trial for the Canadiens.

Evidence of a trend can be found in three particular games, namely the losses in Vancouver, Pittsbugh and Chicago. In all three, the Canadiens were consistently outworked and outmuscled in the trenches. While players such Brian Gionta, Tomas Plekanec and Josh Gorges spare no effort game in and game out, the Habs simply don't have enough warriors of the skilled variety to take down elite clubs.

Gritty forwards such as Travis Moen and Glen Metropolit can bring it all they want every game, but how often is it going to be a difference maker against the deeper teams. Against the Penguins, this line runs up against Jordan Staal's line, against the Bruins they'll face Patrice Bergeron, in Washington they see Brendan Morrison or Brooks Laich and in Buffalo it's Paul Gaustad.

What's most concerning in road games is how easily the neutral zone seems to disappear for Scott Gomez. In Montreal, where Martin can get the matchups more often than not, Gomez' puck time is greatly increased, but it's not the case on the road, where a covered Gomez equates a neutralized Gionta and Mike Cammalleri.

Further worrisome for top line forwards on the road comes with the puck possession issues as Cammalleri, and Kostitsyn in his place last night, are not strong on loose pucks. Gionta is more the battler of the three, and would seem more effective with Plekanec, but if he is consistently removed from Gomez' side, there isn't much spike left to Habs top line.

A close examination of road games shows that the Canadiens have yet to dominate and win away from home. In two wins against Toronto and Buffalo - both in OT - they were greatly outplayed both times, hung on because Carey Price was stellar, and pounced on opportunity in four on four overtime. That scenario, with Price holding his own, almost played out again in Chicago, until Price allowed one he should have had late in the third.

The Canadiens best road showing remains the loss in Edmonton, where two teams who enjoy a freewheeling style went head to head. Nikolai Khabibulin was the difference that night, just as Price was in the first two games.

The Canadiens in Chicago weren't terrible by any means, but I've touched on the notion that their best might often not be good enough before. How would this game have played out at 2-0 had Jonathan Toews been in the lineup? Before Cammalleri's goal, it looked as though another Vancouver or Pittsburgh style rout was a goal away.

Montreal, in Martin's system, showed it is capable of playing shutdown hockey to some extent, but it goes against the nature of some of the team's instinct. Can it be consistently expected that talented players - I'll name only Kostitsyn and Cammalleri - continuously, shift after suffocating shift, sacrifice their games to fit the system?

The project of turning Maxim Lapierre into a gritty right winger for Plekanec hasn't been a rousing success. He's been merely operative in the first few games there, and I'm convinced that he and Metropolit are better third and fourth pivots than Metro and Kyle Chipchura are slotted down one. To me, Kyle as Metro's wingman is more sensible that Max as Plek's sidekick.

Until Andrei Markov returns and makes everyone he's on the ice with better, what hope is there for the Habs on the road against the tougher teams?

If we're left to expecting Carey Price to be otherworldly away from home to get wins, it's quite a strain. It seems he has to be near perfect to give the team a chance, and that's not a heck of alot to build on. Price, a pair of weaks goals and all, was all the Habs had going for them last night.

Despite all the allure of potential offensive weaponry, the mix just doesn't seem to allow it to unload. This team should be thrilled to remain in the hunt for eighth place even after Markov returns. Until it is proven otherwise, these retooled Canadiens are a two goal, up and down, .500 hockey club at best.

Enjoy the ferris wheel!

About Last Night...

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.500

Call me crazy, but anything outside of .500 without Markov is considered extremely optimistic.

This team is 13 games into a monster chemistry experiment, but missing the essential ingredient. It will be up and down for 3 months and as long as they are close to 8th by March, I will be happy.

As for Price, I have given up on what STATISTICS tell me. I have gone over EVERY goal this season, and have seen him give up maybe 4-5 suspect goals, not bad, suspect. I ignore the bashers, I ignore the kool-aid drinkers. I am fine with his progress.

.500 til Markov returns. That is MY goal.

www.fantasysensehockey.net

by Wamsley on Oct 31, 2009 3:36 AM EDT reply actions  

100%

.500 till Markov returns would be great! I thought the worst when he went down, but the team is working its ass off in every game (except against the Pens and Nuks…those were poor efforts all around) and that can’t be said for the last several years. While the leadership may have been more substantial with Koivu and Kovalev…the accountability from top to bottom of this team is WAY more substantial. And this team is just starting to gel.

More importantly, when does O’Byrne get back so we can sit Gill.

by blockersave93 on Oct 31, 2009 9:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

Answer to that question – not soon enough!

by Robert L on Oct 31, 2009 9:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

So true. Gill is so painful to watch. I really fear we won´t sit him until O´Byrne and Markov are both back because Bergeron also sucks (well at least defensively). The good news: Markov, Mara, Hamrlik, Spacek, Gorges and O´Byrne? That would really be a good defence.

by Torres on Oct 31, 2009 9:52 AM EDT up reply actions  

Who moves to the wing?

If not Lapierre? I think the game is slowing down for Kyle and he appears better able to handle shifts matched up against skilled opponents. Not a significant scoring threat, but was Lapierre when he first came up? I remember the critics saying Max won’t be able to score enough to warrant significant playing time…but if they could, I’d bet every team in contention for the playoffs would trade for him in a second. Kyle can grow into that role as well. He is learning from Moen and Metro and hopefully will continue to grow.

Matt showed some speed (before having his head taken off) and Pack has had little flashes…but neither are 2nd line players at this point. Maybe next year after they learn how to do the little things that will keep them in the lineup if they don’t score.

Moen is on pace for 30 goals, should he move up? Should Metro move up as he has been good on the PP? Do we swallow our pride and bring up Sergei and see if having tight reigns on him at the NHL level gets him to perform? Do we trade away the brothers and bring someone else in…not that there would be may takers at this point. Do you reward some uninspired play by Lats?

Once again, who moves to the wing if not Lapierre?

by blockersave93 on Oct 31, 2009 8:28 AM EDT reply actions  

provoked enough to comment

you surprise me robert.

after a couple of seasons of reading your truly excellent blog, this is the first time i have felt provoked enough to comment. there are less than one handful of folks in the “media” who’s opinion i trust on the habs; and who are not driven to appeal to the lowest common denominator reader/viewer with sensationalism. i count you on that hand.

it is still too early to pronounce on this chemistry experiment.

you were patient through the five game slide, when other less analytical souls started freaking. and you should be patient now. but perhaps i am in the wrong here, as tobalev also seems ready to call this “not a very good team” that will try hard.

i disagree.

why is this habs teams better than any i’ve seen since the mid-1990s?

in order of importance:

  1. Martin is a very good coach, who is just beginning to work his magic
  2. Said magic will be worked for the next few months without Markov, which will turn this team into a force when he returns
  3. Price is getting older, and better. he is going to come into his own this season.
  4. Cammalleri is a gifted goal scorer who comes to play every night, and will get points on most of them – it has been over a decade since we’ve had that
  5. The Brothers K are two top six forwards yet to arrive this season. if they do, watch out. if they don’t, we should be able to get at least one top sixer out of a trade for them.
  6. Pleks is back. for real. that is absolutely huge.
  7. Halak is also playing great. he will be traded for something juicy, or he will be the number two man in one of the leagues best goaltending duos.
  8. Gionta + Gomez = work as hard, show as much leadership, and get more points than Koivu + Kovalev. which makes Cammalleri like a bonus in terms of improvement over last season, when you consider that Pleks is picking up where the surprising Lang left off.
  9. three young players are improving and proving themselves: Gorges, Chips, Max Pac (O’Bryne too?)
  10. Metro is shaping up to be one of the best 4th line centres in the league this year
  11. Moen rocks the house

There are lots of negatives I could counter-balance this list with (ehem, Gill?! BGL in the NHL?!, etc…), but most habs fans and commentators are taking care of that.

Gainey has done well to assemble this group of talent. Martin is just starting to turn them into a team.

I hope we win tonight. If we do, the first month of this chemistry experiment will have gone very well indeed. if not, it will still have gone better than i had imagined.

either way, it will only get better from here (barring injuries to other key players). this is a team to be reckoned with. patience is a virtue that Montrealers need to embrace this season.

by patience is a virtue on Oct 31, 2009 12:52 PM EDT reply actions  

It antagonizes me greatly that I’ve fallen into the naysayers category and I haven’t taken my switch from optimism lightly. I’m pleased that you and other fans can maintain the hopefulness, but for the moment, what I see is what I see.

Looking at the players individually can be misleading. The sum of the parts so far have given me little reason to get too excited. The team works hard, but it’s how it comes up short that is of concern.

I do agree that there could be several upsides in regards to player evaluation. As noted in your 11 points, the team has strong elements individually that could become good cohesively. Only a few players get under my skin, and it’s not the learning kids.

What gnaws at times is the lack of consistency of effort. Not to single out, but some games a guy like Max P is on fire, the next he’s invisible. He’s not the only one. When these kids are all consistent regular performers, then there will be more reason for be to optimistic.

At the moment, I cannot see anything more than a .500 hockey club that best not lose to weaker teams or else it’s in deep trouble.

BTW, thanks for the balance your post and it’s astute points bring. Your thoughts have much merit of course. I’d welcome them often, so pitch in please. Also appreciated are the kind words. Hopefully, the next provocation is a more positive one.

by Robert L on Oct 31, 2009 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

Working hard and coming up short, is a concern. Also, playing from behind on a regular basis is also a concern. With the lack of secondary scoring up front, it is important for this team to play with the lead, if they are to make a run at making the playoffs.

by bolder on Oct 31, 2009 4:53 PM EDT reply actions  

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